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Experiments to Reduce the Over-Reporting of Voting: A Pipeline to the Truth

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  • Hanmer, Michael J.
  • Banks, Antoine J.
  • White, Ismail K.

Abstract

Voting is a fundamental part of any democratic society. But survey-based measures of voting are problematic because a substantial proportion of nonvoters report that they voted. This over-reporting has consequences for our understanding of voting as well as the behaviors and attitudes associated with voting. Relying on the “bogus pipeline” approach, we investigate whether altering the wording of the turnout question can cause respondents to provide more accurate responses. We attempt to reduce over-reporting simply by changing the wording of the vote question by highlighting to the respondent that: (1) we can in fact find out, via public records, whether or not they voted; and (2) we (survey administrators) know some people who say they voted did not. We examine these questions through a survey on US voting-age citizens after the 2010 midterm elections, in which we ask them about voting in those elections. Our evidence shows that the question noting we would check the records improved the accuracy of the reports by reducing the over-reporting of turnout.

Suggested Citation

  • Hanmer, Michael J. & Banks, Antoine J. & White, Ismail K., 2014. "Experiments to Reduce the Over-Reporting of Voting: A Pipeline to the Truth," Political Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(1), pages 130-141, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:polals:v:22:y:2014:i:01:p:130-141_01
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    Cited by:

    1. Römer, Ulf & Weber, Ron & Mußhoff, Oliver & Turvey, Calcum G., 2017. "Truth and consequences: Bogus pipeline experiment in informal small business lending," DARE Discussion Papers 1702, Georg-August University of Göttingen, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development (DARE).
    2. Irfan Nooruddin, 2014. "Making Surveys Work Better: Experiments in Public Opinion Research," Studies in Indian Politics, , vol. 2(1), pages 105-108, June.
    3. Ulf Römer & Oliver Mußhoff & Ron Weber & Calum G. Turvey, 2018. "Assessing the Reliability of Self‐reported Income Information in Informal Small Business Lending through a Bogus Pipeline Experiment," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 69(3), pages 726-738, September.
    4. Matthew DeBell & Jon A. Krosnick & Katie Gera & David S. Yeager & Michael P. McDonald, 2020. "The Turnout Gap in Surveys: Explanations and Solutions," Sociological Methods & Research, , vol. 49(4), pages 1133-1162, November.

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