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Bubbles And Crowding-In Of Capital Via A Savings Glut

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  • Hillebrand, Marten
  • Kikuchi, Tomoo
  • Sakuragawa, Masaya

Abstract

This paper uncovers a mechanism by which bubbles crowd in capital investment. If capital formation is initially depressed by a binding credit constraint, a bubble triggers a savings glut. Higher returns in a new bubbly equilibrium attract additional savings, which are channeled to expand investment at the extensive margin, leading to permanently higher capital, output, and wages. We demonstrate that crowding-in through this channel is a robust phenomenon that occurs along the entire time path.

Suggested Citation

  • Hillebrand, Marten & Kikuchi, Tomoo & Sakuragawa, Masaya, 2018. "Bubbles And Crowding-In Of Capital Via A Savings Glut," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(5), pages 1238-1266, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:macdyn:v:22:y:2018:i:05:p:1238-1266_00
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ricardo J. Caballero & Emmanuel Farhi & Mohamad L. Hammour, 2006. "Speculative Growth: Hints from the U.S. Economy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 96(4), pages 1159-1192, September.
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    5. Ben S. Bernanke, 2007. "Global imbalances: recent developments and prospects," Speech 317, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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    Cited by:

    1. Takuma Kunieda & Tarishi Matsuoka & Akihisa Shibata, 2017. "Asset Bubbles, Technology Choice, and Financial Crises," Discussion Paper Series 157, School of Economics, Kwansei Gakuin University, revised Feb 2017.
    2. Lise Clain-Chamosset-Yvrard & Xavier Raurich & Thomas Seegmuller, 2024. "Entrepreneurship, growth and productivity with bubbles," Post-Print hal-04718292, HAL.
    3. Brueckner, Markus & Kikuchi, Tomoo & Vachadze, George, 2023. "Transitional dynamics of the saving rate and economic growth," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(2), pages 482-505, March.
    4. Sakuragawa, Masaya & Tobe, Satoshi & Zhou, Mengyuan, 2021. "Chinese housing market and bank credit," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    5. Clain-Chamosset-Yvrard, Lise & Raurich, Xavier & Seegmuller, Thomas, 2024. "Entrepreneurship, growth and productivity with bubbles," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    6. Tomoo Kikuchi & Athakrit Thepmongkol, 2020. "Capital Bubbles, Interest Rates, and Investment in a Small Open Economy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(8), pages 2085-2109, December.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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