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Demography And Growth: A Unified Treatment Of Overlapping Generations

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  • Bruce, Neil
  • Turnovsky, Stephen J.

Abstract

We construct a unified overlapping-generations framework of equilibrium growth that includes the Blanchard “perpetual youth” model, the Samuelson model, and the infinitely lived–agent model as limit specifications for a “realistic” two-parameter survivorship function. We assess how the limit specifications compare with the general survival function, and analyze how exogenous changes in demographic conditions affect equilibrium growth and savings rates. Predicted effects are consistent with some cross-country correlations between demographic conditions and growth rates.

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  • Bruce, Neil & Turnovsky, Stephen J., 2013. "Demography And Growth: A Unified Treatment Of Overlapping Generations," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 17(8), pages 1605-1637, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:macdyn:v:17:y:2013:i:08:p:1605-1637_00
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Antoine Bommier & Ronald D. Lee, 2003. "Overlapping generations models with realistic demography," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 16(1), pages 135-160, February.
    2. Blanchard, Olivier J, 1985. "Debt, Deficits, and Finite Horizons," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 93(2), pages 223-247, April.
    3. Boucekkine, Raouf & de la Croix, David & Licandro, Omar, 2002. "Vintage Human Capital, Demographic Trends, and Endogenous Growth," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 104(2), pages 340-375, June.
    4. Bond, Eric W. & Wang, Ping & Yip, Chong K., 1996. "A General Two-Sector Model of Endogenous Growth with Human and Physical Capital: Balanced Growth and Transitional Dynamics," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 149-173, January.
    5. An, Chong-Bum & Jeon, Seung-Hoon, 2006. "Demographic change and economic growth: An inverted-U shape relationship," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 92(3), pages 447-454, September.
    6. Burke, Jonathan L., 1996. "Equilibrium for Overlapping Generations in Continuous Time," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 70(2), pages 364-390, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Bucci, Alberto & Carbonari, Lorenzo & Trovato, Giovanni, 2021. "Variety, Competition, And Population In Economic Growth: Theory And Empirics," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(5), pages 1303-1330, July.
    2. Lau, Sau-Him Paul, 2014. "Fertility and mortality changes in an overlapping-generations model with realistic demography," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 512-521.
    3. Wong, Chi Heem & Tsui, Albert K., 2015. "Forecasting life expectancy: Evidence from a new survival function," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 208-226.
    4. Holger Strulik & Sebastian Vollmer, 2013. "Long-run trends of human aging and longevity," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 26(4), pages 1303-1323, October.
    5. Wong, Chi Heem & Tsui, Albert K, 2015. "Forecasting Life Expectancy: Evidence from a New Survival Function," CEI Working Paper Series 2015-1, Center for Economic Institutions, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    6. Jochen Mierau & Stephen Turnovsky, 2014. "Demography, growth, and inequality," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 55(1), pages 29-68, January.

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