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Bond and Stock Market Response to Unexpected Earnings Announcements

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  • Datta, Sudip
  • Dhillon, Upinder S.

Abstract

This study examines whether earnings changes convey information in bond markets and finds a significant positive (negative) reaction to unexpected earnings increases (decreases). The results are consistent whether earnings announcements precede or follow dividend announcements. Thus, earnings surprises convey information to bond markets and changes in firm value are split among bondholders and stockholders. This is in contrast to evidence from studies examining unexpected dividend announcements where bond price reaction is asymmetric. Cross-sectional analysis reveals that bond excess returns are positively related to earnings surprises.

Suggested Citation

  • Datta, Sudip & Dhillon, Upinder S., 1993. "Bond and Stock Market Response to Unexpected Earnings Announcements," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(4), pages 565-577, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:28:y:1993:i:04:p:565-577_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Maul, D. & Schiereck, D., 2017. "The bond event study methodology since 1974," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 80723, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    2. Campbell, T. Colin & Chichernea, Doina C. & Petkevich, Alex, 2016. "Dissecting the bond profitability premium," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 102-131.
    3. Dan Givoly & Carla Hayn & Sharon Katz, 2017. "The changing relevance of accounting information to debt holders over time," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 64-108, March.
    4. Dave Jackson & Jeff Madura, 2003. "Profit Warnings and Timing," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 38(4), pages 497-513, November.
    5. Umit G. Gurun & Rick Johnston & Stanimir Markov, 2016. "Sell-Side Debt Analysts and Debt Market Efficiency," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(3), pages 682-703, March.
    6. Baik, Bok & Kim, Young Jun & Kim, Jungbae & Lee, Su Jeong, 2015. "Usefulness of earnings in credit markets: Korean evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 93-113.
    7. Xiaolu Hu & Haoyi Luo & Zijin Xu & Jiang Li, 2021. "Intra‐industry spill‐over effect of default: Evidence from the Chinese bond market," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(3), pages 4703-4740, September.
    8. Konrad Lang, 2018. "Voluntary Disclosure and Analyst Forecast," European Accounting Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(1), pages 23-36, January.
    9. Cornaggia, Kimberly & Hund, John & Nguyen, Giang, 2022. "Investor attention and municipal bond returns," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    10. John M. Halstead & Shantaram Hegde & Linda Schmid Klein, 2004. "Orange County Bankruptcy: Financial Contagion in the Municipal Bond and Bank Equity Markets," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 39(2), pages 293-315, May.
    11. Xanthi Gkougkousi, 2014. "Aggregate Earnings and Corporate Bond Markets," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(1), pages 75-106, March.
    12. Chun-An Li & Tse-Mao Lin & Yu-Wen Huang, 2018. "Managerial Overconfidence, Compensation Induced Risk Taking, And Earnings Management," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 12(2), pages 1-26.
    13. Zhang, Gaiyan & Zhang, Sanjian, 2013. "Information efficiency of the U.S. credit default swap market: Evidence from earnings surprises," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 720-730.
    14. Zolotoy, L., 2008. "Empirical essays on the information transfer between and the informational efficiency of stock markets," Other publications TiSEM 2a2652c6-1060-4622-8721-8, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    15. Qiang Chen & Daolun Chen & YuTing Gong, 2012. "An empirical analysis of dynamic relationship between stock market and bond market based on information shocks," China Finance Review International, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 2(3), pages 265-285, June.
    16. Melissa Woodley & Peter DaDalt & John R. Wingender, 2020. "The price and volume response to earnings announcements in the corporate bond market," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 55(4), pages 669-696, November.
    17. Datta, Sudip & Iskandar-Datta, Mai, 1996. "Takeover defenses and wealth effects on securityholders: The case of poison pill adoptions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(7), pages 1231-1250, August.
    18. Tsai, Hui-Ju, 2014. "The informational efficiency of bonds and stocks: The role of institutional sized bond trades," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 34-45.
    19. Zhu, Hui, 2014. "Implications of limited investor attention to customer–supplier information transfers," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(3), pages 405-416.
    20. C. Elizabeth Plummer & Senyo Y. Tse, 1999. "The Effect of Limited Liability on the Informativeness of Earnings: Evidence from the Stock and Bond Markets," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 16(3), pages 541-574, September.
    21. Even-Tov, Omri, 2017. "When does the bond price reaction to earnings announcements predict future stock returns?," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(1), pages 167-182.
    22. Frank Gyamfi-Yeboah & Alan Ziobrowski & Lisa Lambert, 2012. "Reits’ Price Reaction to Unexpected FFO Announcements," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 45(3), pages 622-644, October.
    23. Ramnath, Sundaresh & Rock, Steve & Shane, Philip, 2008. "The financial analyst forecasting literature: A taxonomy with suggestions for further research," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 34-75.
    24. Cole, Brittany M. & Gullett, Nell S. Gullett, 2024. "The Value of Corporate Bond Listing," MPRA Paper 120601, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 27 Mar 2024.
    25. Wei Li & Zhichao Zhang, 2012. "International capital flows, the domestic employment and wages," China Finance Review International, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 2(3), pages 286-310, June.

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