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Financial Applications of Discriminant Analysis: A Clarification

Author

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  • Altman, Edward I.
  • Eisenbeis, Robert A.

Abstract

In a recent article in this Journal Joy and Tollefson [10] (hereafter J&T) critically analyzed discriminant analysis and its application to bankruptcy analysis. The authors make several interesting points and provide a useful discussion of the application of this statistical technique in finance. There are, however, three aspects of their presentation which need further elaboration. These relate to their discussions of (1) the difference between the stability of the discriminant model and its predictive ability, (2) the alternative methods of making inferences about the relative discriminatory power of variables, and (3) the reference statistics to use in assessing classification efficiency. In commenting on these points we will make use of the data from the Altman [1] study as did J&T.

Suggested Citation

  • Altman, Edward I. & Eisenbeis, Robert A., 1978. "Financial Applications of Discriminant Analysis: A Clarification," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(1), pages 185-195, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:13:y:1978:i:01:p:185-195_00
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. du Jardin, Philippe & Séverin, Eric, 2012. "Forecasting financial failure using a Kohonen map: A comparative study to improve model stability over time," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 221(2), pages 378-396.
    2. Ángel Beade & Manuel Rodríguez & José Santos, 2024. "Business failure prediction models with high and stable predictive power over time using genetic programming," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 1-41, September.
    3. Dimitras, A. I. & Zanakis, S. H. & Zopounidis, C., 1996. "A survey of business failures with an emphasis on prediction methods and industrial applications," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 90(3), pages 487-513, May.
    4. Balcaen, Sofie & Ooghe, Hubert, 2006. "35 years of studies on business failure: an overview of the classic statistical methodologies and their related problems," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 63-93.
    5. Marek Vochozka, 2010. "Vývoj metod komplexního hodnocení výkonnosti podniku [Development of Methods for Comprehensive Evaluation of Business Performance]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2010(5), pages 675-688.
    6. John W. Pacey & Toan M. Pham, 1990. "The Predictiveness of Bankruptcy Models: Methodological Problems and Evidence," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 15(2), pages 315-337, December.
    7. Kurt M. Fanning & Kenneth O. Cogger, 1994. "A Comparative Analysis of Artificial Neural Networks Using Financial Distress Prediction," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 3(4), pages 241-252, December.
    8. Petr Jakubík & Petr Teplý, 2011. "The JT Index as an Indicator of Financial Stability of Corporate Sector," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2011(2), pages 157-176.
    9. Jackson, Richard H.G. & Wood, Anthony, 2013. "The performance of insolvency prediction and credit risk models in the UK: A comparative study," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 45(3), pages 183-202.
    10. Izan, H. Y., 1984. "Corporate distress in Australia," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 303-320, June.
    11. Ekaterina Tzvetanova, 2019. "Adaptation of the Altman’s Corporate Insolvency Prediction Model – The Bulgarian Case," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 4, pages 125-142.
    12. Marek Gruszczyński, 2019. "On Unbalanced Sampling in Bankruptcy Prediction," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-13, June.

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