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Dynamic Price Discovery Process of Chinese Agricultural Futures Markets: An Empirical Study Based on the Rolling Window Approach

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  • Xu, Yuanyuan
  • Pan, Fanghui
  • Wang, Chuanmei
  • Li, Jian

Abstract

We investigate the dynamic evolution of the price discovery function in Chinese agricultural futures markets using a newly developed rolling window cointegration approach. The results show that, compared with wheat and rice, the futures-spot cointegration relationship in the soybean and corn markets tends to be more durable and frequent. Dynamic cointegration analysis indicates that the recent market-oriented reforms in China have boosted the price discovery function of soybean and corn futures markets, whereas price stabilization policies tend to weaken the price discovery function of futures markets. The difference in price discovery function is attributed to differences in market mechanisms and Chinese agricultural policies.

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  • Xu, Yuanyuan & Pan, Fanghui & Wang, Chuanmei & Li, Jian, 2019. "Dynamic Price Discovery Process of Chinese Agricultural Futures Markets: An Empirical Study Based on the Rolling Window Approach," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 51(4), pages 664-681, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jagaec:v:51:y:2019:i:04:p:664-681_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Esposti, Roberto, 2021. "On the long-term common movement of resource and commodity prices.A methodological proposal," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    2. Jian Yang & Zheng Li & Tao Wang, 2021. "Price discovery in chinese agricultural futures markets: A comprehensive look," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(4), pages 536-555, April.

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