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Forecasting Irrigation Water Demand: A Case Study on the Flint River Basin in Georgia

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  • Banerjee, Swagata “Ban”
  • Tareen, Irfan Y.
  • Gunter, Lewell F.
  • Bramblett, Jimmy
  • Wetzstein, Michael E.

Abstract

Southeast drought conditions have accentuated the demand for irrigation in the face of restricted water supply. For allocating this supply, Georgia held an auction for withdrawing irrigated acreage. This auction withdrew 33,000 acres from irrigation, resulting in a physical estimate of a 399 acre-feet daily increase in water flow. The actual reduction is driven by crop distributional changes on the basis of economic substitution and expansion effects. In contrast to the physical estimates, an econometric model that considers these effects is developed. The differences between the physical and econometric models result in an increase in the estimate of water savings of around 19% to 24%.

Suggested Citation

  • Banerjee, Swagata “Ban” & Tareen, Irfan Y. & Gunter, Lewell F. & Bramblett, Jimmy & Wetzstein, Michael E., 2007. "Forecasting Irrigation Water Demand: A Case Study on the Flint River Basin in Georgia," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 39(3), pages 641-655, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jagaec:v:39:y:2007:i:03:p:641-655_02
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    Cited by:

    1. Banerjee, Swagata (Ban) & Obembe, Babatunde A., 2013. "Econometric Forecasting of Irrigation Water Demand Conserves a Valuable Natural Resource," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 45, pages 1-12, August.
    2. Banerjee, Swagata (Ban), 2013. "Comparing Results of Irrigation Water Demand Forecasting from Three Southern States," 2013 Annual Meeting, February 2-5, 2013, Orlando, Florida 143062, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    3. Banerjee, Swagata (Ban) & Martin, Steven W., 2008. "Econometric versus Engineering Prediction of Water Demand and Value for Irrigation," 2008 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2008, Orlando, Florida 6165, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

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