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Price Expectations and Supply Response in the Thoroughbred Yearling Market

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  • Neibergs, J. Shannon
  • Thalheimer, Richard

Abstract

Limited information is available concerning price determination in the thoroughbred yearling market. A recursive model incorporating price expectations and biological constraints is used to estimate supply and demand functions for thoroughbred horses. Empirical results characterize a market with inelastic supply and elastic demand that converges to equilibrium under static conditions. Purses were identified as the most influential variable impacting price. Comparative statics illustrate the effectiveness of purses as a policy instrument for the thoroughbred industry. Federal tax policy also was found to have a significant impact on the decisions to breed or invest in thoroughbred yearlings.

Suggested Citation

  • Neibergs, J. Shannon & Thalheimer, Richard, 1997. "Price Expectations and Supply Response in the Thoroughbred Yearling Market," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 29(2), pages 419-435, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jagaec:v:29:y:1997:i:02:p:419-435_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Hansen, Charlotte R. & Stowe, C. Jill, 2018. "Determinants Of Weanling Thoroughbred Auction Prices," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 50(1), pages 48-63, February.
    2. Philip Rodgers, 2011. "Overproduction of Yearling Thoroughbred Horses," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 16(1), pages 53-64, March.
    3. Conor Parsons & Ian Smith, 2008. "The Price of Thoroughbred Yearlings in Britain," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 9(1), pages 43-66, February.
    4. J. Shannon Neibergs, 2001. "A hedonic price analysis of thoroughbred broodmare characteristics," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(2), pages 299-314.
    5. Frank A. Gamrat & Raymond D. Sauer, 2000. "The Utility of Sport and Returns to Ownership," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 1(3), pages 219-235, August.
    6. Vickner, Steven S. & Koch, Stephen I., 2001. "Hedonic Pricing, Information, And The Market For Thoroughbred Yearlings," Journal of Agribusiness, Agricultural Economics Association of Georgia, vol. 19(2), pages 1-17.
    7. Maynard, Leigh J. & Stoeppel, Kelly M., 2007. "Hedonic Price Analysis of Thoroughbred Broodmares in Foal," Journal of Agribusiness, Agricultural Economics Association of Georgia, vol. 25(2), pages 1-15.
    8. Poerwanto, Devie & Stowe, C. Jill, 2010. "The Relationship Between Sire Representation and Average Yearling Prices in the Thoroughbred Industry," Journal of Agribusiness, Agricultural Economics Association of Georgia, vol. 28(1).
    9. Vestal, Mallory K. & Lusk, Jayson L. & Cooper, Steven R. & Ward, Clement E., 2012. "What Are the Consequences of United States Government Slaughter Policies on Horse Prices?," 2012 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2012, Birmingham, Alabama 119766, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    10. Vinzant, Patrick L. & Neibergs, J. Shannon, 1999. "Maximum-Likelihood Estimates Of Racehorse Earnings And Profitability," Journal of Agribusiness, Agricultural Economics Association of Georgia, vol. 17(1), pages 1-12.
    11. Hansen, Charlotte & Saghaian, Sayed, 2015. "Progeny? Performance? What really matters in a stud fee," 2015 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2015, Atlanta, Georgia 196876, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    12. Vestal, Mallory K. & Lusk, Jayson L. & DeVuyst, Eric A. & Cooper, Steven R. & Ward, Clement E., 2012. "Quarter Horse Supply and Demand: Welfare Analysis and Impacts of the Equine Processing Ban," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124536, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    13. Neibergs, J. Shannon & Thalheimer, Richard, 1998. "An Analysis Of The Economic Efficiency Of Thoroughbred Breeder/Owner Incentive Policies," 1998 Annual meeting, August 2-5, Salt Lake City, UT 20915, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

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