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Explaining the International Relations of Secessionist Conflicts: Vulnerability Versus Ethnic Ties

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  • Saideman, Stephen M.

Abstract

With the end of the Cold War, many observers expected that international conflict would be less likely to occur and easier to manage. Given the successful resolution of the Gulf War and the European Community's (EC) efforts to develop a common foreign policy, observers expected international cooperation to manage the few conflicts that might break out. Instead, the disintegration of Yugoslavia contradicted these expectations. Rather than developing a common foreign policy, European states were divided over how to deal with Serbia, Croatia, and Bosnia. Germany pushed for relatively quick recognition of Croatia and Slovenia, whereas other members of the EC wanted to go slower. Some observers expected Russia to fall in line with the West because of its need for investment and trade, but instead it supported Serbia. It is puzzling that Europe failed to cooperate regardless of whether greater international cooperation could have managed this conflict. How can we make sense of the international relations of Yugoslavia's demise? Since secession is not a new phenomenon, we should study previous secessionist conflicts to determine if they share certain dynamics, and we should consider applying to Yugoslavia the arguments developed to understand such conflicts.

Suggested Citation

  • Saideman, Stephen M., 1997. "Explaining the International Relations of Secessionist Conflicts: Vulnerability Versus Ethnic Ties," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 51(4), pages 721-753, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:intorg:v:51:y:1997:i:04:p:721-753_44
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    Cited by:

    1. Colin Hannigan, 2019. "Toward a holistic networks approach to strategic third-party intervention: A literature review," International Area Studies Review, Center for International Area Studies, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, vol. 22(3), pages 277-292, September.
    2. Enze Han & Joseph O’Mahoney & Christopher Paik, 2014. "External kin, economic disparity and minority ethnic group mobilization," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 31(1), pages 49-69, February.
    3. Michael G. Findley & Josiah F. Marineau, 2015. "Lootable resources and third-party intervention into civil wars," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 32(5), pages 465-486, November.
    4. Tcheta-Bampa, Albert & Kodila-Tedika, Oasis, 2018. "Conditions institutionnelles de la malédiction des ressources naturelles en Afrique sur les performances économiques [Institutional conditions of the natural resource curse in Africa on economic pe," MPRA Paper 86511, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Congdon Fors, Heather & Olsson, Ola, 2007. "Endogenous institutional change after independence," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(8), pages 1896-1921, November.
    6. Emir Yazici, 2020. "Transborder identities, bias, and third-party conflict management," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 37(4), pages 490-511, July.
    7. Ola Olsson & Heather Congdon Fors, 2004. "Congo: The Prize of Predation," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 41(3), pages 321-336, May.
    8. Wakako Maekawa, 2019. "External Supporters and Negotiated Settlement: Political Bargaining in Solving Governmental Incompatibility," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 63(3), pages 672-699, March.
    9. Tim Heinkelmann-Wild & Marius Mehrl, 2022. "Indirect Governance at War: Delegation and Orchestration in Rebel Support," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 66(1), pages 115-143, January.
    10. Jori Breslawski & Brandon Ives, 2019. "Killing for God? Factional Violence on the Transnational Stage," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 63(3), pages 617-643, March.
    11. Julian Wucherpfennig & Nils B. Weidmann & Luc Girardin & Lars-Erik Cederman & Andreas Wimmer, 2011. "Politically Relevant Ethnic Groups across Space and Time: Introducing the GeoEPR Dataset1," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 28(5), pages 423-437, November.
    12. Manuel Vogt & Kristian Skrede Gleditsch & Lars-Erik Cederman, 2021. "From Claims to Violence: Signaling, Outbidding, and Escalation in Ethnic Conflict," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 65(7-8), pages 1278-1307, August.
    13. Dane Rowlands & David Carment, 2006. "Force And Bias: Towards A Predictive Model Of Effective Third-Party Intervention," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(5), pages 435-456.

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