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United Nations intervention and recurring conflict

Author

Listed:
  • Diehl, Paul F.
  • Reifschneider, Jennifer
  • Hensel, Paul R.

Abstract

The end of the cold war has signaled a dramatic increase in the number and forms of United Nations (UN) intervention into ongoing conflicts. Yet, this larger UN role has not always translated into success. Short-term failures are evident, but the long-term effects of UN efforts are not readily apparent. We explore this longer-term impact by examining the incidence of recurring conflict between state dyads following a crisis. Overall, UN intervention has proved ineffective in inhibiting, delaying, or lessening the severity of future conflicts, independent of the level of violence in the precipitating crisis, the relative capabilities of the two states, the states' history of conflict, and the form of crisis outcome; nor were UN efforts successful in deterring future conflict. These sobering results suggest that changes in long-term strategy may be in order.

Suggested Citation

  • Diehl, Paul F. & Reifschneider, Jennifer & Hensel, Paul R., 1996. "United Nations intervention and recurring conflict," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 50(4), pages 683-700, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:intorg:v:50:y:1996:i:04:p:683-700_03
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    Cited by:

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    2. Matthew J. Lebo & Will H. Moore, 2003. "Dynamic Foreign Policy Behavior," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 47(1), pages 13-32, February.
    3. Garoupa, Nuno R & Gata, Joao E, 2002. "A Theory of International Conflict Management and Sanctioning," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 110(1-2), pages 41-65, January.
    4. Janet M. Box-Steffensmeier & Dan Reiter & Christopher Zorn, 2003. "Nonproportional Hazards and Event History Analysis in International Relations," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 47(1), pages 33-53, February.
    5. Han Dorussen & Theodora-Ismene Gizelis, 2013. "Into the lion’s den," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 50(6), pages 691-706, November.
    6. Amegashie J. Atsu, 2011. "On Third-Party Intervention in Conflicts: An Economist's View," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 16(2), pages 1-10, April.
    7. Kyle Beardsley, 2008. "Agreement without Peace? International Mediation and Time Inconsistency Problems," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 52(4), pages 723-740, October.
    8. Susumu Suzuki & Volker Krause & J. David Singer, 2002. "The Correlates of War Project: a Bibliographic History of the Scientific Study of War and Peace, 1964-2000," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 19(2), pages 69-107, September.
    9. Mike Felgenhauer, 2007. "A sheriff, two bullets and three problems," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 130(3), pages 347-362, March.
    10. Mahdi FAWAZ, 2020. "Ressources naturelles et guerres civiles au Moyen-Orient," Bordeaux Economics Working Papers 2020-09, Bordeaux School of Economics (BSE).
    11. David Carment & Dane Rowlands, 1998. "Three's Company," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 42(5), pages 572-599, October.
    12. Wukki Kim & Todd Sandler & Hirofumi Shimizu, 2020. "A Multi‐Transition Approach to Evaluating Peacekeeping Effectiveness," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(4), pages 543-567, November.
    13. Charles Cohen & Eric D. Werker, 2008. "The Political Economy of ``Natural'' Disasters," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 52(6), pages 795-819, December.
    14. Davis B. Bobrow & Mark A. Boyer, 1997. "Maintaining System Stability," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 41(6), pages 723-748, December.
    15. David Carment & Martin Fischer, 2011. "Three’s Company? Towards an Understanding of Third-Party Intervention Effectiveness," Chapters, in: Christopher J. Coyne & Rachel L. Mathers (ed.), The Handbook on the Political Economy of War, chapter 22, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    16. Dane Rowlands & David Carment, 2006. "Force And Bias: Towards A Predictive Model Of Effective Third-Party Intervention," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(5), pages 435-456.
    17. Chojnacki, Sven & Eberwein, Wolf-Dieter, 2000. "Die Kultur der Prävention: Ein Ansatz zur Zivilisierung internationaler Politik?," Discussion Papers, Research Group International Politics P 00-301, WZB Berlin Social Science Center.
    18. Han Dorussen & Tobias Böhmelt & Govinda Clayton, 2022. "Sequencing United Nations peacemaking: Political initiatives and peacekeeping operations," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 39(1), pages 24-48, January.
    19. Kyle Beardsley, 2013. "The UN at the peacemaking–peacebuilding nexus," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 30(4), pages 369-386, September.
    20. Jacob D. Kathman, 2013. "United Nations peacekeeping personnel commitments, 1990–2011," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 30(5), pages 532-549, November.

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