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Testing, Encompassing, and Simulating Dynamic Econometric Models

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  • Gouriéroux, Christian
  • Monfort, Alain

Abstract

We define, in a dynamic framework, the notions of binding functions, images, reflecting sets, indirect identification, indirect information, and encompassing. We study the properties of the notion of encompassing when the true distribution does not necessarily belong to one of the two competing models of interest. In this context we propose various test procedures of the encompassing hypothesis. Some of these procedures are based on simulations, and some of them are linked with the notion of indirect estimation (in particular, the GET and simulated GET procedures). As a by-product, we get an asymptotic theory of the tests of non-nested hypotheses in the stationary dynamic case.

Suggested Citation

  • Gouriéroux, Christian & Monfort, Alain, 1995. "Testing, Encompassing, and Simulating Dynamic Econometric Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 11(2), pages 195-228, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:etheor:v:11:y:1995:i:02:p:195-228_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Coenen, Gunter & Wieland, Volker, 2005. "A small estimated euro area model with rational expectations and nominal rigidities," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(5), pages 1081-1104, July.
    2. Geert Dhaene & Olivier Scaillet, 2000. "Reversed Score and Likelihood Ratio Tests," Working Papers 2000-60, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
    3. Bontemps, Christophe & Mizon, Grayham E., 2001. "Congruence and encompassing," Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics 107, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.
    4. Neil R. Ericsson, 2008. "The Fragility of Sensitivity Analysis: An Encompassing Perspective," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(s1), pages 895-914, December.
    5. Massimiliano Marcellino & Barbara Rossi, 2008. "Model Selection for Nested and Overlapping Nonlinear, Dynamic and Possibly Mis‐specified Models," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(s1), pages 867-893, December.
    6. Zhipeng Liao & Xiaoxia Shi, 2020. "A nondegenerate Vuong test and post selection confidence intervals for semi/nonparametric models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 11(3), pages 983-1017, July.
    7. Vadim Marmer, 2012. "Linear processes: properties and asymptotic results (in Russian)," Quantile, Quantile, issue 10, pages 33-56, December.
    8. Steven Cook, 2005. "On the semantic approach to econometric methodology," Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(1), pages 117-123.
    9. Ramdan Dridi & Eric Renault, 2000. "Semi-Parametric Indirect Inference," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 392, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
    10. Alain Guay & Olivier Scaillet, 1999. "Indirect Inference, Nuisance Parameter and Threshold Moving Average," Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers 95, CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal.
    11. Gunter Coenen & Volker Wieland, 2000. "A Simple Estimated Euro Area Model With Rational Expectations And Nominal Rigidities," Computing in Economics and Finance 2000 187, Society for Computational Economics.
    12. Elia Lapenta & Pascal Lavergne, 2022. "Encompassing Tests for Nonparametric Regressions," Papers 2203.06685, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    13. Dridi, Ramdan & Guay, Alain & Renault, Eric, 2007. "Indirect inference and calibration of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 136(2), pages 397-430, February.
    14. Gourieroux, Christian & Jasiak, Joann, 2018. "Misspecification of noncausal order in autoregressive processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 205(1), pages 226-248.
    15. Bontemps, Christophe & Mizon, Grayham E., 2001. "Congruence and encompassing," Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics 0107, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.
    16. Ramdan Dridi, 2000. "Simulated Asymptotic Least Squares Theory," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 396, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
    17. Jang, Tae-Seok, 2012. "Structural estimation of the New-Keynesian Model: a formal test of backward- and forward-looking expectations," MPRA Paper 40278, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Jang, Tae-Seok, 2012. "Structural estimation of the New-Keynesian model: A formal test of backward- and forward-looking behavior," Economics Working Papers 2012-07, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
    19. Lapenta, Elia & Lavergne, Pascal, 2022. "Encompassing Tests for Nonparametric Regressions," TSE Working Papers 22-1332, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    20. Xiaoxia Shi, 2015. "A nondegenerate Vuong test," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 6(1), pages 85-121, March.
    21. Gouriéroux, Christian, 1994. "Modèles économétriques : utilisation et interprétation (les)," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Couverture Orange) 9423, CEPREMAP.
    22. Jin, Fei & Lee, Lung-fei, 2013. "Cox-type tests for competing spatial autoregressive models with spatial autoregressive disturbances," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(4), pages 590-616.
    23. Jang, Tae-Seok, 2012. "Structural estimation of the New-Keynesian Model: a formal test of backward- and forward-looking expectations," MPRA Paper 39669, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Dridi, Ramdan, 2000. "Simulated asymptotic least squares theory," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 6861, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

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