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Real Exchange Rates and Trade Protectionism

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  • Oatley, Thomas

Abstract

Real exchange rate movements are robustly related to the rise and fall of trade protectionism. I demonstrate this by presenting a theoretical model that incorporates the real exchange rate into a standard factor proportions model of trade policy preferences. The model demonstrates why some firms' trade policy preferences, and thus total demands for protectionism, change in response to real exchange rate movements. I evaluate the model with data on antidumping investigations in six industrialized countries between the late 1970s and 2004. The exercise suggests that the real exchange rate hypothesis offers a more compelling explanation for protectionist waves than the business cycle hypothesis.

Suggested Citation

  • Oatley, Thomas, 2010. "Real Exchange Rates and Trade Protectionism," Business and Politics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(2), pages 1-17, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:buspol:v:12:y:2010:i:02:p:1-17_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Auray, Stéphane & Devereux, Michael B. & Eyquem, Aurélien, 2022. "Self-enforcing trade policy and exchange rate adjustment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    2. J. Bradford Jensen & Dennis P. Quinn & Stephen Weymouth, 2013. "Global Supply Chains, Currency Undervaluation, and Firm Protectionist Demands," NBER Working Papers 19239, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Stéphane Auray & Michael B. Devereux & Aurélien Eyquem, 2024. "The Demand for Trade Protection over the Business Cycle," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(4), pages 865-898, June.
    4. Chin, Lee & Che Rusli, AK, 2015. "The Determinants of Non-Tariff Barriers: The Role of WTO Membership," MPRA Paper 96864, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Peter Nuhu & Dramani Bukari, 2021. "An analysis of export, import and exchange rate oscillation in Ghana," International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 301-327, September.
    6. Georgios Georgiadis & Johannes Gräb, 2016. "Growth, Real Exchange Rates and Trade Protectionism since the Financial Crisis," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(5), pages 1050-1080, November.
    7. J. Bradford Jensen & Dennis P. Quinn & Stephen Weymouth, 2014. "The Influences Of Foreign Direct Investments, Intrafirm Trading, And Currency Undervaluation On U.S. Firm Trade Disputes," Working Papers 14-04, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    8. Aleksandra ?or?evi? Zori?, 2019. "The importance of exchange rate stability for export growth," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences 9911949, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    9. Alessandro Nicita, 2013. "Exchange rates, international trade and trade policies," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 135-136, pages 47-61.

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