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Ghost in a Shell: The Scenario Tool and the World Making of Royal Dutch Shell

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  • Andersson, Jenny

Abstract

This article examines the history of the Royal Dutch Shell scenarios, from the first horizon scan exercise in 1967. It proposes that forward-looking scenarios were integrated in planning at Shell as tools for managing uncertainty in global time and space relations of oil after 1967. Specifically, the article proposes that Shell strategically used the scenarios to respond to arguments, emanating both from OPEC and from the Club of Rome, of oil as a limited resource. Shell used the scenarios to create images of a future oil market dominated by innovation, creativity, and sustainable solutions.

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  • Andersson, Jenny, 2020. "Ghost in a Shell: The Scenario Tool and the World Making of Royal Dutch Shell," Business History Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 94(4), pages 729-751, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:buhirw:v:94:y:2020:i:4:p:729-751_4
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    Cited by:

    1. Undheim, Trond Arne, 2024. "In search of better methods for the longitudinal assessment of tech-derived X-risks: How five leading scenario planning efforts can help," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    2. Christophe Bonneuil & Pierre-Louis Choquet & Benjamin Franta, 2021. "Early warnings and emerging accountability: Total’s responses to global warming, 1968-2021," Post-Print halshs-03390521, HAL.
    3. Christophe Bonneuil & Pierre-Louis Choquet & Benjamin Franta, 2021. "Early warnings and emerging accountability: Total’s responses to global warming, 1968-2021," SciencePo Working papers Main halshs-03390521, HAL.

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