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Economic Performance and Elite Defection from Hegemonic Parties

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  • Reuter, Ora John
  • Gandhi, Jennifer

Abstract

Hegemonic party regimes are non-democratic regimes that (1) rule with the aid of a dominant political party and (2) hold multi-party elections. Elite coalitions organized under the aegis of a hegemonic party are most vulnerable in elections that coincide with poor economic performance. A declining economy provides elites with a platform around which they can mobilize support to challenge incumbents in elections. As a result, the likelihood of defections from hegemonic parties increases as income declines. This study’s original dataset, which includes 227 elections for the chief executive in hegemonic party dictatorships from 1946 to 2004, and its case studies of defections in Zimbabwe under ZANU-PF in 2008 and Turkey under the Democratic Party in 1955 provide evidence for this proposition.

Suggested Citation

  • Reuter, Ora John & Gandhi, Jennifer, 2011. "Economic Performance and Elite Defection from Hegemonic Parties," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 41(1), pages 83-110, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:bjposi:v:41:y:2011:i:01:p:83-110_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Israel Marques II & Eugenia Nazrullaeva & Andrei Yakovlev, 2016. "Substituting Distribution for Growth: The Political Logic of Intergovernmental Transfers in the Russian Federation," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(1), pages 23-54, March.
    2. Duvanova Dinissa & Sokhey Sarah Wilson, 2016. "Choosing which firms to help in crisis: evidence from the emerging European economies," Business and Politics, De Gruyter, vol. 18(3), pages 225-262, October.
    3. Hackenesch, Christine, 2015. "It’s Domestic Politics, Stupid! EU Democracy Promotion Strategies Meet African Dominant Party Regimes," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 85-96.
    4. Davide Luca & Andrés Rodríguez-Pose, 2019. "Building consensus: shifting strategies in the territorial targeting of Turkey's public transport investment," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(11), pages 1591-1602, November.
    5. Milos Popovic, 2022. "Strongmen cry too: The effect of aerial bombing on voting for the incumbent in competitive autocracies," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 59(6), pages 844-859, November.
    6. Vasilyeva, Olga & Libman, Alexander, 2020. "Varieties of authoritarianism matter: Elite fragmentation, natural resources and economic growth," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    7. Anne Meng, 2021. "Winning the Game of Thrones: Leadership Succession in Modern Autocracies," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 65(5), pages 950-981, May.
    8. Tore Wig & Espen Geelmuyden Rød, 2016. "Cues to Coup Plotters," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 60(5), pages 787-812, August.
    9. Govorun Andrei & Pyle William & Marques II Israel, 2016. "The political roots of intermediated lobbying: evidence from Russian enterprises and business associations," Business and Politics, De Gruyter, vol. 18(4), pages 395-433, December.
    10. Anne Meng, 2019. "Accessing the state: Executive constraints and credible commitment in dictatorship," Journal of Theoretical Politics, , vol. 31(4), pages 568-599, October.
    11. Yue, Jiahua & Zhou, Shangsi, 2018. "Democracy’s comparative advantage: Evidence from aggregated trade data, 1962–2010," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 27-40.
    12. Mikhail A Alexseev & Henry E Hale, 2020. "Crimea come what may: Do economic sanctions backfire politically?," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 57(2), pages 344-359, March.
    13. Israel Marques & Eugenia Nazrullaeva & Andrei Yakovlev, 2011. "From Competition to Dominance: Political Determinations of Federal Transfers in Russian Federation," HSE Working papers WP BRP 12/EC/2011, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    14. Cassey Lee, 2020. "Economic Reforms in the Aftermath of Regime Change in Malaysia," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 15(2), pages 239-257, July.
    15. Dawn Brancati & Adrián Lucardi, 2019. "What We (Do Not) Know about the Diffusion of Democracy Protests," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 63(10), pages 2438-2449, November.

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