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Tactical Voting in Great Britain in 1983 and 1987: An Alternative Approach

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  • Johnston, R. J.
  • Pattie, C. J.

Abstract

The analyses presented in this note have extended earlier work on tactical voting in Great Britain by looking at variations between constituencies in the flow-of-the-vote matrix that are consistent with hypotheses of tactical voting. They have suggested that about 4 per cent of the British electorate voted tactically in 1983, as did nearly 6 per cent in 1987. The volume of tactical voting was greater in Conservative-held than in Labour-held seats, and in both was greater the more marginal the seat. In general, the opposition party with the greatest chance of unseating the incumbent, as suggested by the result of the previous election, gained from the tactical voting process, and there is evidence that greater campaign effort, as indexed by constituency spending, helped them in this.

Suggested Citation

  • Johnston, R. J. & Pattie, C. J., 1991. "Tactical Voting in Great Britain in 1983 and 1987: An Alternative Approach," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(1), pages 95-108, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:bjposi:v:21:y:1991:i:01:p:95-108_00
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    Cited by:

    1. David P. Myatt, 2000. "Strategic Voting Under the Qualified Majority Rule," Economics Series Working Papers 2000-W07, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    2. Hummel, Patrick, 2012. "Sequential voting in large elections with multiple candidates," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(3), pages 341-348.
    3. Colin Rallings & Michael Thrasher, 2003. "Explaining Split‐Ticket Voting at the 1979 and 1997 General and Local Elections in England," Political Studies, Political Studies Association, vol. 51(3), pages 558-572, October.
    4. Michael Herrmann, 2012. "Voter uncertainty and failure of Duverger’s law: an empirical analysis," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 151(1), pages 63-90, April.
    5. St'ephane Dupraz & Daniel Muller & Lionel Page, 2013. "Tactical Voting and Voter's Sophistication in British Elections," QuBE Working Papers 011, QUT Business School.
    6. Ricardo Troncoso Sepúlveda, 2019. "Estimación del voto estratégico en elecciones parlamentarias chilenas 2013," Revista Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Militar Nueva Granada, vol. 27(1), pages 169-184, February.
    7. Artabe, Alaitz & Gardeazabal, Javier, 2014. "Strategic Votes and Sincere Counterfactuals," Political Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(2), pages 243-257, April.
    8. HeeMin Kim & Tatiana Kostadinova, 2011. "Does Tactical Voting Matter? The Political Impact of Tactical Voting in Canadian Elections," International Area Studies Review, Center for International Area Studies, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, vol. 14(1), pages 49-72, March.
    9. D. Hillygus & Sarah Treul, 2014. "Assessing strategic voting in the 2008 US presidential primaries: the role of electoral context, institutional rules, and negative votes," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 161(3), pages 517-536, December.
    10. Myoung-jae Lee & Sung-jin Kang, 2009. "Strategic Voting and Multinomial Choice In US Presidential Elections," Discussion Paper Series 0907, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University.
    11. A. Forcina & M. Gnaldi & B. Bracalente, 2012. "A revised Brown and Payne model of voting behaviour applied to the 2009 elections in Italy," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 21(1), pages 109-119, March.

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