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Components of Electoral Decision

Author

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  • Stokes, Donald E.
  • Campbell, Angus
  • Miller, Warren E.

Abstract

What combination of forces elects a President? Each electoral decision releases a flood of interpretive comment about the conditions, circumstances, and causes which have influenced the result. A very great assortment of factors is examined and varying estimates are made of the responsibility of each for the outcome. Certainly, interpretations of the most recent presidential contest have shown the variety of ideas Americans bring to the analysis of their national elections. Mr. Eisenhower's victory has been attributed to the satisfactions engendered by national prosperity; to the anxieties raised by the threat of war; to the moods of racial, ethnic, or other groupings in the population; to the personal attractiveness of the winning candidate; to the conservative temper of the electorate; to the impact of various issues; to changing party loyalties; to the growth of suburbia; to the progress of an electoral cycle; to events and strategems of the nominating conventions and the campaign; to the influence of the press and of the other mass media. The list could be revised or lengthened in many ways.

Suggested Citation

  • Stokes, Donald E. & Campbell, Angus & Miller, Warren E., 1958. "Components of Electoral Decision," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 52(2), pages 367-387, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:apsrev:v:52:y:1958:i:02:p:367-387_07
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    Cited by:

    1. Thomas Ferguson & Benjamin Page & Jacob Rothschild & Jie Chen & Arturo Chang, 2018. "The Economic and Social Roots of Populist Rebellion: Support for Donald Trump in 2016," Working Papers Series 83, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
    2. Ana Silvia de Matos Vas, 2012. "Interpersonal Influence Regarding the Decision to Vote Within Mozambican Households," Economics Series Working Papers WPS/2012-14, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    3. Grunewald, Andreas & Hansen, Emanuel & Pönitzsch, Gert, 2014. "Political Selection and the Concentration of Political Power," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100339, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    4. Klingemann, Hans-Dieter, 1986. "Der "mündige" Wähler?: Ein Ansatz zur Erklärung des Wählerverhaltens, dargestellt am Beispiel der Bundestagswahl 1983," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, pages 45-58.
    5. Ana Sílvia de Matos Vaz, 2012. "Interpersonal Influence Regarding the Decision to Vote Within Mozambican Households," CSAE Working Paper Series 2012-14, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
    6. Debojyoti Mazumder & Rajit Biswas, 2017. "Political Regime Change and State Performance," Review of Economics and Institutions, Università di Perugia, vol. 8(1).

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