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The Impact of Persistent Terrorism on Political Tolerance: Israel, 1980 to 2011

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  • PEFFLEY, MARK
  • HUTCHISON, MARC L.
  • SHAMIR, MICHAL

Abstract

How do persistent terrorist attacks influence political tolerance, a willingness to extend basic liberties to one's enemies? Studies in the U.S. and elsewhere have produced a number of valuable insights into how citizens respond to singular, massive attacks like 9/11. But they are less useful for evaluating how chronic and persistent terrorist attacks erode support for democratic values over the long haul. Our study focuses on political tolerance levels in Israel across a turbulent 30-year period, from 1980 to 2011, which allows us to distinguish the short-term impact of hundreds of terrorist attacks from the long-term influence of democratic longevity on political tolerance. We find that the corrosive influence of terrorism on political tolerance is much more powerful among Israelis who identify with the Right, who have also become much more sensitive to terrorism over time. We discuss the implications of our findings for other democracies under threat from terrorism.

Suggested Citation

  • Peffley, Mark & Hutchison, Marc L. & Shamir, Michal, 2015. "The Impact of Persistent Terrorism on Political Tolerance: Israel, 1980 to 2011," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 109(4), pages 817-832, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:apsrev:v:109:y:2015:i:04:p:817-832_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Luba Levin-Banchik, 2021. "Precrisis military hostility and escalation in international crises," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 38(1), pages 63-86, January.
    2. Christophe Muller & Pierre Pecher, 2021. "Terrorism, Insurgency, State Repression, and Cycles of Violence," Working Papers halshs-03134347, HAL.
    3. Pearce Edwards & Patrick Pierson, 2023. "Incumbent-Aligned Terrorism and Voting Behavior: Evidence from Argentina’s 1973 Elections," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 67(4), pages 672-700, April.
    4. Benny Geys & Salmai Qari, 2017. "Will you still trust me tomorrow? The causal effect of terrorism on social trust," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 173(3), pages 289-305, December.
    5. Benny Geys & Øystein Hernæs, 2021. "Party leaders and voter responses to political terrorism," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 187(3), pages 481-499, June.
    6. Elster, Yael, 2019. "Rockets and votes," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 767-784.
    7. Julia Elad-Strenger & Golan Shahar, 2018. "Revisiting the Effects of Societal Threat Perceptions on Conflict-related Positions," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 62(8), pages 1753-1783, September.
    8. Elster, Yael & Zussman, Noam, 2024. "Minorities and property values: Evidence from residential buildings in Israel," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).

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