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Exporting the Bomb: Why States Provide Sensitive Nuclear Assistance

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  • KROENIG, MATTHEW

Abstract

Why do states provide sensitive nuclear assistance to nonnuclear weapon states, contributing to the international spread of nuclear weapons? Using a new data set on sensitive nuclear transfers, this article analyzes the determinants of sensitive nuclear assistance. I first describe a simple logic of the differential effects of nuclear proliferation, which I use to generate hypotheses about the conditions under which states provide sensitive nuclear assistance. I then show that the strategic characteristics of the potential nuclear suppliers are the most important determinants of sensitive nuclear assistance. Explanations that emphasize the importance of economic motivations do not find support in the data. This article presents a new approach to the study of the spread of nuclear weapons, focusing on the supply side of nuclear proliferation.

Suggested Citation

  • Kroenig, Matthew, 2009. "Exporting the Bomb: Why States Provide Sensitive Nuclear Assistance," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 103(1), pages 113-133, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:apsrev:v:103:y:2009:i:01:p:113-133_09
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    Cited by:

    1. David Bach & Abraham Newman, 2014. "Domestic drivers of transgovernmental regulatory cooperation," Regulation & Governance, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 8(4), pages 395-417, December.
    2. Jeroen Klomp, 2022. "Shaping strategic arms trade controls: A multivariate approach," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 75(4), pages 646-671, November.
    3. Kim, Philseo & Kim, Jihee & Yim, Man-Sung, 2022. "Assessing proliferation uncertainty in civilian nuclear cooperation under new power dynamics of the international nuclear trade," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    4. Rotte, Ralph, 2024. "Die neue Unübersichtlichkeit nuklearer Sicherheitspolitik: Technologische und institutionelle Aspekte," SocArXiv et9kc, Center for Open Science.
    5. Yogesh Joshi, 2022. "From Ambivalence to Resurgence: India’s Journey as a Nuclear Power," India Quarterly: A Journal of International Affairs, , vol. 78(2), pages 350-370, June.
    6. Erik Gartzke & Matthew Kroenig, 2017. "Social Scientific Analysis of Nuclear Weapons," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 61(9), pages 1853-1874, October.
    7. Erik Gartzke & Dong-Joon Jo, 2009. "Bargaining, Nuclear Proliferation, and Interstate Disputes," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 53(2), pages 209-233, April.
    8. Jewell, Jessica & Vetier, Marta & Garcia-Cabrera, Daniel, 2019. "The international technological nuclear cooperation landscape: A new dataset and network analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 838-852.
    9. Kihyun Lee & Jangho Kim & Yeon-jung Ji, 2021. "In-regime manager: China’s strategy against nuclear India," International Area Studies Review, Center for International Area Studies, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, vol. 24(2), pages 118-134, June.
    10. Erik Gartzke & Matthew Kroenig, 2009. "A Strategic Approach to Nuclear Proliferation," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 53(2), pages 151-160, April.
    11. Philip Baxter & Justin V. Hastings & Philseo Kim & Man‐Sung Yim, 2022. "Mapping the development of North Korea's domestic nuclear research networks," Review of Policy Research, Policy Studies Organization, vol. 39(2), pages 219-246, March.
    12. Imad El-Anis, 2014. "Interests, Trust and Security in US–Jordanian Nuclear Relations," Journal of Developing Societies, , vol. 30(4), pages 459-482, December.
    13. William Spaniel, 2022. "Scientific intelligence, nuclear assistance, and bargaining," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 39(4), pages 447-469, July.
    14. Matthew Fuhrmann & Sarah E. Kreps, 2010. "Targeting Nuclear Programs in War and Peace: A Quantitative Empirical Analysis, 1941-2000," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 54(6), pages 831-859, December.
    15. Matthew Kroenig, 2009. "Importing the Bomb," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 53(2), pages 161-180, April.
    16. Matthew Fuhrmann, 2009. "Taking a Walk on the Supply Side," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 53(2), pages 181-208, April.

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