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El impacto de las crisis en el desempeno del sector agropecuario del Ecuador

Author

Listed:
  • Diego Marcelo Lara Haro
  • Luis Anderson Argothy Almeida
  • Juan Pablo Martínez Mesias
  • Marcelo Agustín Mejía Chávez

Abstract

El presente estudio analiza el impacto de las crisis macroeconómicas en el sector agropecuario del Ecuador. La metodología emplea una regresión econométrica vectorial que permite identificar los canales de trasmisión de las crisis financieras y económicas hacia el desempeno del sector, en el periodo 2008-2020. En este contexto, se plantea dos posibles escenarios para entender la evolución del sector en los próximos anos. Los principales resultados indican que el PIB nacional, las exportaciones y el financiamiento en el largo plazo impactan directamente en el crecimiento del sector agropecuario, mientras que, en el corto plazo tan solo el PIB y el comercio internacional influyen negativamente en el sector. Por otra parte, solo el financiamiento presenta una relación directa. Finalmente, los escenarios planteados no arrojan un pronóstico muy alentador dado las constantes variaciones abruptas que impiden su continua recuperación, determinando la sensibilidad del sector ante fallos en el sistema económico.

Suggested Citation

  • Diego Marcelo Lara Haro & Luis Anderson Argothy Almeida & Juan Pablo Martínez Mesias & Marcelo Agustín Mejía Chávez, 2022. "El impacto de las crisis en el desempeno del sector agropecuario del Ecuador," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, vol. 14(1), pages 167-186, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000443:020548
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sandra Broka & Åsa Giertz & Garry Christensen & Debra Rasmussen & Alexei Morgounov & Turi Fileccia & Rhoda Rubaiza, 2016. "Kazakhstan Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment," World Bank Publications - Reports 23763, The World Bank Group.
    2. Sandra Broka & Åsa Giertz & Garry Christensen & Charity Hanif & Debra Rasmussen & Rhoda Rubaiza, 2016. "Kyrgyz Republic Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment," World Bank Publications - Reports 23764, The World Bank Group.
    3. Sandra Broka & Åsa Giertz & Garry Christensen & Charity Hanif & Debra Rasmussen, 2016. "Tajikistan Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment," World Bank Publications - Reports 23765, The World Bank Group.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    crisis; sector agropecuario; crecimiento económico; PIB; Ecuador.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H12 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Crisis Management
    • Q00 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General - - - General
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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