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Una regla de política fiscal óptima para la economía colombiana: aproximación desde un modelo de equilibrio general dinámico y estocástico

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  • Galvis Ciro, Juan Camilo
  • Bedoya Ospina, Juan Guillermo
  • Loaiza Maya, Rubén Albeiro

Abstract

Resumen: Este documento busca formular, para la economía colombiana, una regla de política fiscal óptima que interactúe con la política monetaria para mantener estable la brecha de inflación y de producto. Se propone un modelo de equilibrio general dinámico estocástico (DSGE) con rigideces nominales, y se postula una regla fiscal que depende de la brecha de la deuda y la brecha del producto, buscándose que la brecha del gasto público aísle los shocks externos, en este caso de preferencias, para mantener la economía cerca del estado estacionario.Abstract: This paper seeks to develop an optimal fiscal policy rule for the Colombian economy that interacts with the monetary policy in order to stabilize the product and inflation gap. It proposes a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model (DSGE) with nominal rigidities and proposes a fiscal rule that depends on the debt and product gap, with the objective of isolating external shocks for the public spending gap in this case a preference shock keeping the economy away from the steady-state.

Suggested Citation

  • Galvis Ciro, Juan Camilo & Bedoya Ospina, Juan Guillermo & Loaiza Maya, Rubén Albeiro, 2011. "Una regla de política fiscal óptima para la economía colombiana: aproximación desde un modelo de equilibrio general dinámico y estocástico," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000174:010143
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    modelo de equilibrio general dinámico estocástico; política fiscal; política monetaria; ciclos económicos;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination

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