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Un modelo macroeconométrico para pronosticar la economía colombiana

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  • Thomas M. Fullerton

Abstract

Este artículo describe las características sobresalientes de un modelo macroeconométrico estimado para Colombia. El uso principal del modelo es proyectar la economía colombiana cada trimestre en conjunto con el resto de la economía mundial. Además de presentar un resumen de los distintos aspectos empíricos del sistema de ecuaciones, se incluye un análisis de un pronóstico previamente publicado para el país. Esta rama de investigación recibe mucha atención en al literatura actual y se espera que el presente sea apenas el primero de una serie se estudios del caso colombiano.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas M. Fullerton, 1993. "Un modelo macroeconométrico para pronosticar la economía colombiana," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 12(24), pages 101-136, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000107:007534
    DOI: 10.32468/Espe.2405
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    Cited by:

    1. Thomas Fullerton & Miwa Hattori & Cuauhtémoc Calderón, 2001. "Error correction exchange rate modeling: Evidence for Mexico," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 25(3), pages 358-368, September.
    2. Thomas M. Fullerton, Jr. & W. Charles Sowyer & Richard L. Sprinkle, 1997. "Functional form for United States-México trade equations," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 12(1), pages 23-35.
    3. Thomas M. Fullerton, Jr., 1999. "Inflationary pressure determinants in México," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 14(1), pages 33-51.
    4. Thomas M Fullerton Jr & Eiichi Araki, 2004. "New Directions in Latin American Macroeconometrics," Development and Comp Systems 0408002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Thomas M Fullerton Jr & Sylvanus I Ikhide, 2004. "An Econometric Analysis of the Nigerian Consumer Price Index," Development and Comp Systems 0407010, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Thomas Fullerton & W. Sawyer & Richard Sprinkle, 1999. "Latin American trade elasticities," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 23(2), pages 143-156, June.
    7. Thomas M. Fullerton & Roberto Coronado, 2001. "Restaurant Prices and the Mexican Peso," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 68(1), pages 145-155, July.

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