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Un índice coincidente para la actividad económica de Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Luis Fernando Melo V.
  • Fabio H. Nieto
  • Carlos Esteban Posada P
  • Yanneth Rocío Betancourt G.
  • Juan David Barón

Abstract

Dentro de la teoría de los ciclos económicos, la metodología de indicadores económicos coincidentes y líderes ha jugado un papel importante en la descripción y pronóstico del estado de la actividad económica. Una forma utilizada para la calcular índices compuestos de variables cuales el índice coincidente corresponde a una variable no observable que representa el estado general de la economía y permite identificar aquello que se busca predecir con el índice líder.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis Fernando Melo V. & Fabio H. Nieto & Carlos Esteban Posada P & Yanneth Rocío Betancourt G. & Juan David Barón, 2001. "Un índice coincidente para la actividad económica de Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 19(40), pages 46-88, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000107:005356
    DOI: 10.32468/Espe.4002
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    Cited by:

    1. Martha Misas A. & Carlos Esteban Posada P & Diego Mauricio Vásquez E, 2003. "¿Está determinado el nivel de precios por las expectativas de dinero y producto en Colombia?," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 21(43), pages 8-31, June.
    2. Enrique López Enciso, 2019. "Dos tradiciones en la medición del ciclo: historia general y desarrollos en Colombia," Tiempo y Economía, Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozano, vol. 6(1), pages 77-142, February.
    3. Pavel Vidal Alejandro & Lya Paola Sierra Suárez & Johana Sanabria Dominguez & Jaime Andres Collazos Rodríguez, 2015. "Indicador mensual de actividad económica (IMAE) para el Valle del Cauca," Borradores de Economia 13610, Banco de la Republica.
    4. Pablo Galaso & Sandra Rodriguez, 2014. "A composite leading cycle indicator for Uruguay," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 14-09, Instituto de Economía - IECON.
    5. repec:bdr:ensayo:v::y:2003:i:43:p:8-31 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Luis Fernando Melo & Fabio Nieto & Mario Ramos V., 2003. "A Leading Index For The Colombian Economic Activity," Borradores de Economia 1920, Banco de la Republica.
    7. Carlos Alberto CASTRO IRAGORRI, 2003. "Yet another lagging, coincident and leading index for the Colombian economy," Archivos de Economía 3785, Departamento Nacional de Planeación.
    8. Martínez, Wilmer & Nieto, Fabio H. & Poncela, Pilar, 2016. "Choosing a dynamic common factor as a coincident index," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 89-98.
    9. Lya Paola Sierra Suárez & Jaime Andrés Collazos-Rodríguez & Johana Sanabria-Domínguez & Pavel Vidal-Alejandro, 2017. "La construcción de indicadores de la actividad económica: una revisión bibliográfica," Apuntes del Cenes, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, vol. 36(64), pages 79-107, October.
    10. Enrique A. López-Enciso, 2017. "Dos tradiciones en la medición del ciclo: historia general y desarrollos en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 986, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.

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