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El modelo de ciclo y crecimiento de Richard Goodwin. Una evaluación empírica para Colombia

Author

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  • Álvaro Moreno

Abstract

El objetivo del presente trabajo es exponer y evaluar lahipótesis del crecimiento cíclico de Richard Goodwin. Seutilizan datos colombianos para contrastar los supuestos delmodelo. Se encontró que a nivel cualitativo, la dinámica delas variables de estado en el espacio de fases muestra ciertacorrespondencia con las predicciones teóricas, al menospara dos períodos: 1957-1966 y 1968-1974. Los resultadoscuantitativos rechazan los supuestos del modelo y los modelosempíricos no describen el verdadero proceso generador delos datos.

Suggested Citation

  • Álvaro Moreno, 2002. "El modelo de ciclo y crecimiento de Richard Goodwin. Una evaluación empírica para Colombia," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000093:006831
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    File URL: http://www.fce.unal.edu.co/media/files/documentos/Cuadernos/37/v21n37_moreno_2002.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Moura, N.J. & Ribeiro, Marcelo B., 2013. "Testing the Goodwin growth-cycle macroeconomic dynamics in Brazil," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(9), pages 2088-2103.
    2. Puente-Ajovin, Miguel, 2013. "Distribución Funcional De La Renta: Teorías Y Evidencia Empírica [Functional Distribution of Income: Theories and Empirical Evidence]," MPRA Paper 49304, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Duque Garcia, Carlos Alberto, 2022. "Ciclos económicos, inversión y rentabilidad del capital en Colombia: un análisis de series de tiempo [Economic cycles, investment and profits in Colombia: a time-series analysis]," MPRA Paper 113272, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    dinámica no lineal; ciclo límite; ciclo endógeno; crecimiento; curva de Phillips.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • B5 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Current Heterodox Approaches
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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