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Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate in a Structural VAR for a Small Open Economy

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  • Sebastian Gomez-Cardona

Abstract

The impact of the monetary policy on the exchange rate and other macroeconomic variables is analyzed for the case of Colombia, a small open economy. Block exogeneity restrictions are imposed in a novel way in a structural VAR, including local and foreign variables. The results are robust to various specifications and show a partial solution of the forward discount bias puzzle, i.e. partial evidence of the uncovered interest parity (UIP). This was not the case in previous research with the same methodology for Colombia. It also finds strong evidence in favor of the central bank leaning against the wind and partial evidence of no pass through from exchange rate to inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Sebastian Gomez-Cardona, 2014. "Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate in a Structural VAR for a Small Open Economy," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000090:013301
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy; exchange rate; uncovered interest parity; structural VAR; block exogeneity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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