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Measuring Seasonal Concentration Of Tourism Demand: Comparative Study Of See Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Biljana Petrevska

    (Faculty of Tourism and Business Logistics, "Goce Delcev" University - Stip, Macedonia)

Abstract

The paper aims to measure seasonality patterns of tourism demand with a particular emphasis on selected countries from South East Europe. The intention is to test the flow distribution in a particular time-segment. This is done by calculating several standard indicators for quantifying inequality of tourism demand in the line of assessing dispersion and concentration in tourism. The outcome is computed annual single measure of the seasonality’s extend for each selected country (Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia and Slovenia). The calculations are based upon monthly series of total number of tourists for the period 2007-2013. The comparative analysis points to interesting research results in terms of different levels of seasonality effects, from low seasonality and no substantial meaning for tourism development (Bosnia and Herzegovina, Macedonia, Serbia and Slovenia), to high seasonality and considerable concentration of tourism demand (Croatia and Montenegro). Furthermore, the study strongly alarms all tourism key players to focus the attention on policies and strategies in the line of modifying tourism seasonality patterns. Finally, the additional contribution of the paper lies in the fact that represents a kind of a pioneer research that empirically investigates tourism seasonality in the region and offers a comparative analysis, thus enriching the poorly developed academic work in this field in Macedonia.

Suggested Citation

  • Biljana Petrevska, 2014. "Measuring Seasonal Concentration Of Tourism Demand: Comparative Study Of See Countries," Journal Articles, Center For Economic Analyses, pages 45-53, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cmk:journl:y:2014:p:45-53
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tom Baum, 1999. "Seasonality in Tourism: Understanding the Challenges," Tourism Economics, , vol. 5(1), pages 5-8, March.
    2. Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & Pedro M.D.C.B. Gouveia, 2004. "An Application of PAR Models for Tourism Forecasting," Tourism Economics, , vol. 10(3), pages 281-303, September.
    3. Claveria, Oscar & Datzira, Jordi, 2008. "Tourism Demand in Catalonia: Detecting External Economic Factors," MPRA Paper 25303, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 12 Apr 2008.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Seasonality; Tourism; Development; South East Europe;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism
    • R1 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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