IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/clr/wugarc/y2009v35i4p501.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Einige unkonventionelle Gedanken zum Leben nach der Krise

Author

Listed:
  • Gunther Tichy

Abstract

Die politische und mediale Diskussion sieht die gegenwärtige Finanzkrise überwiegend als Folge von Fehlentwicklungen im Banksystem; aktive Konjunkturpolitik könnte die Krise überwinden und schärfere Regulierung das Entstehen künftiger Krisen verhindern. Das scheint zu optimistisch; zweifellos haben problematische Deregulierungen und unverantwortliches Bankverhalten die Krise ausgelöst, doch die Verwerfungen liegen tiefer. Zunehmend ungleichmäßige Einkommen- und Vermögensverteilung in den Industrie- wie zunehmende Ersparnisbildung in den Schwellenländern haben gemeinsam mit abnehmender Kreditnachfrage der Schwellenländer, der Wirtschaft (langsames Wachstum und hohe Gewinne) wie der Regierungen (Maastricht) zu Anlageproblemen der Banken und daraus resultierend (aber nicht zu entschuldigen) zu unverantwortlichen Geschäftspraktiken geführt. Schärfere Regulierung allein wird somit wenig bringen, wenn nicht die Sparungleichgewichte beseitigt werden. Weniger Sparen und mehr Konsum wird auch unverzichtbar sein, wenn der Staat seine stark gestiegenen Schulden wieder abbauen will; denn die restriktive Wirkung der dazu erforderlichen Budgetüberschüsse muss durch höhere Nachfrage von Konsumenten oder Wirtschaft kompensiert werden. Eine Rückkehr zu ‚normalem’ krisenfreien Wachstum erfordert aber auch Änderungen im Verhalten der Wirtschaft: Dass die (amerikanische) Hypothekarkrise nicht bloß auf die europäischen Banken sondern auf die gesamte Wirtschaft übergreifen konnte, hängt mit deren geringer Krisenresistenz zusammen, die aus rein am kurzfristigen Gewinn orientierten Praktiken resultiert: Minimierung des Eigenkapitals, Verzicht auf Reserven und Lager, temporäre Arbeitskräfte statt Stammbelegschaft, Konzentration auf ein schmale Palette von Produkten und Kunden, etc. Ein gutes Leben nach der Krise wird auch in diesem Bereich ein Umdenken erfordern.

Suggested Citation

  • Gunther Tichy, 2009. "Einige unkonventionelle Gedanken zum Leben nach der Krise," Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft - WuG, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik, vol. 35(4), pages 501-513.
  • Handle: RePEc:clr:wugarc:y:2009v:35i:4p:501
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://emedien.arbeiterkammer.at/viewer/pdf/AC08890876_2009_004/wug_2009_35_4_0501.pdf
    File Function: PDF-file of article
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Giovanni Dell’ariccia & Deniz Igan & Luc Laeven, 2012. "Credit Booms and Lending Standards: Evidence from the Subprime Mortgage Market," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44, pages 367-384, March.
    2. Eswar S. Prasad & Raghuram G. Rajan & Arvind Subramanian, 2007. "Foreign Capital and Economic Growth," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 38(1), pages 153-230.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ewald Walterskirchen, 2010. "The Burst of the Real Estate Bubble – More Than a Trigger for the Financial Market Crisis," Austrian Economic Quarterly, WIFO, vol. 15(1), pages 86-93, April.
    2. Gunther Tichy, 2011. "Die Staatsschuldenkrise: Ursachen und Folgen," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 84(12), pages 797-810, December.
    3. Markus Marterbauer, 2010. "Budgetkonsolidierung in Zeiten verminderter Erwartungen," Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft - WuG, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik, vol. 36(3), pages 299-323.
    4. repec:clr:wugarc:y:2012:v:38i:2p:185 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Gunther Tichy, 2012. "Der missbrauchte Keynes Überlegungen zur traditionellen Makropolitik," Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft - WuG, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik, vol. 38(2), pages 185-196.
    6. Hans Pitlik & Norbert Gruber & Ewald Walterskirchen, 2010. "An International Comparison of Success Factors for Budget Consolidation Strategies," Austrian Economic Quarterly, WIFO, vol. 15(2), pages 198-210, July.
    7. Hans Pitlik & Norbert Gruber & Ewald Walterskirchen, 2010. "Erfolgsfaktoren von Budgetkonsolidierungsstrategien im internationalen Vergleich," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 83(3), pages 233-245, March.
    8. Gunther Tichy, 2012. "The Sovereign Debt Crisis: Causes and Consequences," Austrian Economic Quarterly, WIFO, vol. 17(2), pages 95-107, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hui Tong & Shang-Jin Wei, 2011. "The Composition Matters: Capital Inflows and Liquidity Crunch During a Global Economic Crisis," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 24(6), pages 2023-2052.
    2. Eduardo Levy Yeyati, 2013. "Cosas que aprendimos de las crisis," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(1), pages 217-250, enero-jun.
    3. Nikolay Hristov & Markus Roth, 2019. "Uncertainty Shocks and Financial Crisis Indicators," CESifo Working Paper Series 7839, CESifo.
    4. Arslan Razmi, 2021. "Capital inflows, sustained investment surges and the role of external economies of scale in a developing economy," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(2), pages 365-387, May.
    5. Mikel Bedayo & Gabriel Jiménez & José-Luis Peydró & Raquel Vegas, 2020. "Screening and Loan Origination Time: Lending Standards, Loan Defaults and Bank Failures," Working Papers 1215, Barcelona School of Economics.
    6. Alessandra Canepa & Fawaz Khaled, 2018. "Housing, Housing Finance and Credit Risk," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-23, May.
    7. Luc Laeven & Alexander Popov, 2016. "A Lost Generation? Education Decisions and Employment Outcomes during the US Housing Boom-Bust Cycle of the 2000s," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(5), pages 630-635, May.
    8. Mika Nieminen, 2017. "Patterns of international capital flows and their implications for developing countries," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2017-171, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    9. Stolbov, M., 2012. "Financial Accelerator Theory and the Russian Mortgage Market," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 13(1), pages 79-98.
    10. Enrico Perotti & Magdelena Rola-Janicka, 2019. "Funding Shocks and Credit Quality," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 19-060/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
    11. Roy, Saktinil & Kemme, David M., 2012. "Causes of banking crises: Deregulation, credit booms and asset bubbles, then and now," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 270-294.
    12. Carlos A. Arango & Oscar M. Valencia, 2015. "Macro-Prudential Policy under Moral Hazard and Financial Fragility," Borradores de Economia 878, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    13. Philipp Harms & Pierre-Guillaume Méon, 2013. "The Growth Effects of Greenfield Investment and Mergers and Acquisitions: Econometric Investigation and Implication for MENA Countries," Working Papers 794, Economic Research Forum, revised Nov 2013.
    14. Ahmed Abdullahi D., 2011. "International Financial Integration, Investment and Economic Performance in Sub-Saharan African Countries," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 11(4), pages 1-28, December.
    15. Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose, 2013. "Financial Crises: Explanations, Types and Implications," CAMA Working Papers 2013-06, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    16. Sen Gupta, Abhijit & Sengupta, Rajeswari, 2013. "Management of Capital Flows in India: 1990-2011," MPRA Paper 46217, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Deniz Igan & Prachi Mishra & Thierry Tressel, 2012. "A Fistful of Dollars: Lobbying and the Financial Crisis," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 26(1), pages 195-230.
    18. Harry Huizinga & Luc Laeven, 2019. "The Procyclicality of Banking: Evidence from the Euro Area," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(3), pages 496-527, September.
    19. Gente, Karine & León-Ledesma, Miguel A. & Nourry, Carine, 2015. "External constraints and endogenous growth: Why didn't some countries benefit from capital flows?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 223-249.
    20. Ibrahim D. Raheem & Sara le Roux & Simplice A. Asongu, 2019. "The Role of Asymmetry and Uncertainties in the Capital Flows- Economic Growth Nexus," Research Africa Network Working Papers 19/047, Research Africa Network (RAN).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:clr:wugarc:y:2009v:35i:4p:501. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Michael Birkner (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/awakwat.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.