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Quo vadis, Brexitannia?

Author

Listed:
  • Martin Braml
  • Gabriel Felbermayr

Abstract

Am 15. Januar 2019 lehnte das britische Unterhaus das Brexit-Abkommen zwischen dem Vereinigten Königreich und der EU ab. Das Nein der britischen Abgeordneten ist nachvollziehbar. Der Deal hätte das Vereinigte Königreich auf den Status einer Handelskolonie herabgestuft, ohne handelspolitische Autonomie. Zudem wäre seine territoriale Integrität in Frage gestellt. Der Beitrag diskutiert die zur Auswahl stehenden Alternativen bezüglich ihrer politökonomischen Konsequenzen und ihrer Implikationen für die Zukunft Europas. Eine aufgewertete Zollunion in Kombination mit zusätzlichen bilateralen Verträgen nach der Art des Schweizer Modells könnte eine gangbare Lösung sein. Das Vereinigte Königreich sollte aber auch die ökonomischen Realitäten akzeptieren und die großen handelspolitischen Herausforderungen gemeinsam mit der EU angehen, anstatt getrennt von ihr. Die EU wiederum sollte mit ihrem politischen Dogma der vier Freiheiten brechen und flexiblere Integrationsmöglichkeiten bieten, die z.B. die Personenfreizügigkeit ausklammern.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Braml & Gabriel Felbermayr, 2019. "Quo vadis, Brexitannia?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(02), pages 32-39, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:72:y:2019:i:02:p:32-39
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gabriel Felbermayr & Jasmin Katrin Gröschl & Inga Heiland & Martin Braml & Marina Steininger, 2017. "Ökonomische Effekte eines Brexit auf die deutsche und europäische Wirtschaft," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 85, October.
    2. Sascha O Becker & Thiemo Fetzer & Dennis Novy, 2017. "Who voted for Brexit? A comprehensive district-level analysis," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 32(92), pages 601-650.
    3. Benjamin Born & Gernot J Müller & Moritz Schularick & Petr Sedláček, 2019. "The Costs of Economic Nationalism: Evidence from the Brexit Experiment," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 129(623), pages 2722-2744.
    4. Born, Benjamin & Müller, Gernot J. & Schularick, Moritz & Sedlacek, Petr, 2017. "The economic consequences of the Brexit Vote," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 87174, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Sascha Becker & Thiemo Fetzer & Dennis Novy & Sascha O. Becker, 2017. "Who Voted for Brexit?," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 15(04), pages 03-05, December.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    EU-Mitgliedschaft; EU-Staaten; Großbritannien; Brexit;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior

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