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Mittelfristige Perspektiven für den Nichtwohnungsbau in Deutschland

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  • Erich Langmantel

Abstract

Der Rückgang der Nichtwohnungsbauinvestitionen in den vergangenen zehn Jahren ist eine Folge der Anpassung des Bautenbestandes an das sich abschwächende gesamtwirtschaftliche Wachstum. Damit es zu einer Trendwende hin zu wieder steigenden Investitionen kommt, müsste sich - nach einer ökonometrischen Schätzung - die durchschnittliche jährliche Wachstumsrate des realen BIP für den Rest des Jahrzehnts an 2% annähern.

Suggested Citation

  • Erich Langmantel, 2003. "Mittelfristige Perspektiven für den Nichtwohnungsbau in Deutschland," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(12), pages 10-13, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:56:y:2003:i:12:p:10-13
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kwiatkowski, Denis & Phillips, Peter C. B. & Schmidt, Peter & Shin, Yongcheol, 1992. "Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root : How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 54(1-3), pages 159-178.
    2. Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 1993. "A Simple Estimator of Cointegrating Vectors in Higher Order Integrated Systems," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 783-820, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Erich Langmantel, 2005. "Anlageinvestitionen: Anteil Ostdeutschlands stagniert," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(11), pages 12-15, June.
    2. Gert G. Wagner, 2003. "Pauschalprämien setzen das Konzept der Bürgerversicherung am besten um," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(17), pages 3-6, September.
    3. Erich Langmantel, 2004. "Investitionen: Aufholprozess in den neuen Bundesländern vorerst zu Ende," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(07), pages 37-40, April.
    4. Volker Rußig, 2003. "Bauwirtschaft in Europa: Erst mittelfristig wieder steigende Produktion," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(17), pages 15-21, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bauwirtschaft; Branchenentwicklung; Deutschland;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L74 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction - - - Construction

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