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Verdeckte Arbeitslosigkeit in der DDR

Author

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  • Kurt Vogler-Ludwig

Abstract

Geht man in der DDR von bisherigen Produktions- und Absatzbedingungen aus,so wird die verdeckte Arbeitslosigkeit auf 15% der Gesamtbeschäftigung, das sind 1,4 Mill. Beschäftigte, geschätzt. Weitere Fakten belegen dies: tägliche Stillstandszeiten der Produktion im Durchschnitt 18-25%, Arbeitszeitausfall von 11%, Ausfallzeiten bei Materiallieferungen in Höhe von 13%. Eine andere Ursache liegt in dem auf 2-15% der Gesamtbevölkerung geschätzten personellen Aufwand für soziale und politische Aufgaben. Unter neuen Produktions- und Absatzbedingungen wird eine Schätzung der erwarteten Beschäftigungsentwicklung bis zum Jahresende 1991 vorgenommen. Im Einzelnen: Das geschätzte Potential an verdeckter Arbeitslosigkeit von 15-30% wird zu offener Arbeitslosigkeit übergehen. Es wird mit einem Jahresdurchschnitt 1991 von 1,5 Mill. gerechnet. Abbau von Arbeitsplätzen und Entstehung neuer Arbeitsplätze sollten nicht durch Arbeitskämpfe gefährdet werden und von sozialen Absicherungsmaßnahmen begleitet sein. Es bedarf erheblicher Anstrengungen seitens staalicher Wirtschaftspolitik,westlicher Unternehmen und der Bevölkerung der DDR.

Suggested Citation

  • Kurt Vogler-Ludwig, 1990. "Verdeckte Arbeitslosigkeit in der DDR," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 43(24), pages 03-10, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:43:y:1990:i:24:p:03-10
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    Cited by:

    1. Elkhan Richard Sadik-Zada, 2020. "Distributional Bargaining and the Speed of Structural Change in the Petroleum Exporting Labor Surplus Economies," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 32(1), pages 51-98, January.
    2. Blum, Ulrich, 2011. "An Economic Life in Vain − Path Dependence and East Germany’s Pre- and Post-Unification Economic Stagnation," IWH Discussion Papers 10/2011, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    3. Franz, Wolfgang, 1991. "Im Jahr danach: Bestandsaufnahme und Analyse der Arbeitsmarktentwicklung in Ostdeutschland," Discussion Papers, Series II 159, University of Konstanz, Collaborative Research Centre (SFB) 178 "Internationalization of the Economy".
    4. George A. Akerlof & Andrew K. Rose & Janet L. Yellen & Helga Hessenius, 1991. "East Germany in from the Cold: The Economic Aftermath of Currency Union," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 22(1), pages 1-106.
    5. Ulrich Blum, 2013. "Eastern Germany's economic development revisited: path dependence and economic stagnation before and after reunification," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(1), pages 37-58, March.
    6. Sadik-Zada, Elkhan Richard, 2023. "Resource rents, savings behavior, and scenarios of economic development," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    7. Drasch, Katrin, 2012. "Between familial imprinting and institutional regulation: Family related employment interruptions of women in Germany before and after the German reunification," IAB-Discussion Paper 201209, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    8. Klodt, Henning, 1992. "Government support for restructuring the East German economy," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 1866, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    9. Westermann, Thomas, 1995. "Das Produktionspotential in Ostdeutschland," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 1995,04, Deutsche Bundesbank.

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