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Der Einfluss von ökonomischer und politischer Unsicherheit auf Fertilität im Nachgang der Coronakrise

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  • Matteo Neufing

Abstract

Die Geburtenrate in Deutschland hat 2023 mit 1,35 Kindern pro Frau ein 15-Jahres-Tief erreicht. Dieser Rückgang steht in Zusammenhang mit der gestiegenen ökonomischen sowie politischen Unsicherheit, wie die Analyse anhand des Economic Policy Uncertainty Index (EPU) zeigt. Ein Anstieg der ökonomischen und politischen Unsicherheit in Deutschland führt mit einer Zeitverzögerung von ca. 14 Monaten zu einem signifikanten Rückgang der Geburten, ohne dass später ein Aufholeffekt sichtbar wird. Diese Ergebnisse verdeutlichen die Bedeutung politischer und ökonomischer Stabilität für die Geburtenrate.

Suggested Citation

  • Matteo Neufing, 2024. "Der Einfluss von ökonomischer und politischer Unsicherheit auf Fertilität im Nachgang der Coronakrise," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 31(05), pages 08-11, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:31:y:2024:i:05:p:08-11
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Joachim Ragnitz, 2024. "Zahl der Geburten in Deutschland nimmt drastisch ab," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 31(05), pages 03-07, October.

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