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Immobilier et politique monétaire

Author

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  • Éric Heyer
  • Xavier Timbeau

Abstract

We propose a model and its econometric estimation, representing the housing channel of monetary policy. Econometrics are robusts over time and space, lead to sound effects and allows measurement of different sensitivity of countries to a change of interest rates. According to our estimations, sensitivity of the euro zone economy is two to three times lesser than that of US economy. Considering that monetary policy was less reactive for the euro zone than for the US, monetary policy was less efficient in stabilizing the economy. Lower sensitivity of the euro zone is explained partly by joint evolution of unemployment and household income which have limited household indebtness. Structural factors, such as the extent of competition on the bank market, have also played a role in a less efficient monetary policy. JEL codes: C22, E21, E27, E52.

Suggested Citation

  • Éric Heyer & Xavier Timbeau, 2006. "Immobilier et politique monétaire," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 96(1), pages 115-151.
    • Handle: RePEc:cai:reofsp:reof_096_0115
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. repec:dau:papers:123456789/4189 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Barro, Robert J, 1979. "On the Determination of the Public Debt," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 87(5), pages 940-971, October.
    3. Valérie Chauvin & Gaël Dupont & Éric Heyer & Mathieu Plane & Xavier Timbeau, 2002. "Le modèle France de l'OFCE. La nouvelle version : e-mod.fr," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 81(2), pages 245-300.
    4. Nathalie Girouard & Sveinbjörn Blöndal, 2001. "House Prices and Economic Activity," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 279, OECD Publishing.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kierzenkowski, R. & Oung, V., 2007. "L’évolution des crédits à l’habitat en France : une grille d’analyse en termes de cycles," Working papers 172, Banque de France.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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