IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/buc/jpredm/v8y2014i1p1-26.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Model For Predicting Population Distribution Among Developed And Developing Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Nissim Ben-David
  • Evyatar Ben-David
  • Zvi Winer

Abstract

We present a theoretical model that enables to predict population distribution according to fertility and survival rates for each age group. Using World Bank data, we estimated the relation between fertility rate of change and survival probabilities. Our findings show that fertility rate of change is reduced in countries with low or medium survival rate of infants. Conversely, it increased for those with a high survival rate of infants. If the survival rate of infants converges to 1, the fertility rate of change converges to zero, moving the country to steady size of population at age 1.

Suggested Citation

  • Nissim Ben-David & Evyatar Ben-David & Zvi Winer, 2014. "A Model For Predicting Population Distribution Among Developed And Developing Countries," Journal of Prediction Markets, University of Buckingham Press, vol. 8(1), pages 1-26.
    • Handle: RePEc:buc:jpredm:v:8:y:2014:i:1:p:1-26
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://ubplj.org/index.php/jpm/article/view/838
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    population distribution; fertility; survival rates;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:buc:jpredm:v:8:y:2014:i:1:p:1-26. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Dominic Cortis, University of Malta (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.ubpl.co.uk/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.