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The use of bias correction versus the Jackknife when testing the mean reversion and long term mean parameters in continuous time models

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  • Iglesias Emma M.

    (Department of Economics, Facultade de Economía y Empresa, Universidade da Coruña, Campus de Elviña, 15071A Coruña, Spain)

  • Phillips Garry D. A.

    (Cardiff Business School, Cardiff University, CardiffCF10 3EU, United Kingdom)

Abstract

In this paper we extend the results in [5] in two directions: First, we show that by bias correcting the estimated mean reversion parameter we can also have better finite sample properties of the testing procedure using a t-statistic in the near unit root situation when the mean reversion parameter is approaching its lower bound versus using the Jackknife estimator of Phillips and Yu [8]. Second, we show that although Tang and Chen [10] demonstrate that the variance of the maximum likelihood estimator of the long term mean parameter is of an order equal to the reciprocal of the sample size (the same order as that of the bias and variance of the mean reversion parameter estimator and so it does not converge very fast to its true value), the t-statistic related to that parameter does not exhibit large empirical size distortions and so does not need to be bias corrected in practice.

Suggested Citation

  • Iglesias Emma M. & Phillips Garry D. A., 2017. "The use of bias correction versus the Jackknife when testing the mean reversion and long term mean parameters in continuous time models," Monte Carlo Methods and Applications, De Gruyter, vol. 23(3), pages 159-164, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:bpj:mcmeap:v:23:y:2017:i:3:p:159-164:n:2
    DOI: 10.1515/mcma-2017-0111
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Tang, Cheng Yong & Chen, Song Xi, 2009. "Parameter estimation and bias correction for diffusion processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 149(1), pages 65-81, April.
    2. Peter C. B. Phillips, 2005. "Jackknifing Bond Option Prices," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 18(2), pages 707-742.
    3. Yu, Jun, 2012. "Bias in the estimation of the mean reversion parameter in continuous time models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(1), pages 114-122.
    4. Vasicek, Oldrich, 1977. "An equilibrium characterization of the term structure," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 177-188, November.
    5. Y. Román-Montoya & M. Rueda & A. Arcos, 2008. "Confidence intervals for quantile estimation using Jackknife techniques," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 573-585, October.
    6. Iglesias, Emma M., 2014. "Testing of the mean reversion parameter in continuous time models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 122(2), pages 187-189.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nicoleta ISAC & Cosmin DOBRIN & Mehmood HUSSAN & Asad ul Islam KHAN & Alina- Andreea MARIN, 2020. "On The Ranks Of Tests Having Null Of Cointegration: A Monte Carlo Comparison," Management Research and Practice, Research Centre in Public Administration and Public Services, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 12(2), pages 58-69, June.

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