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Simulating the Economic Impacts of a Hypothetical Bio-Terrorist Attack: A Sports Stadium Case

Author

Listed:
  • Lee Bumsoo

    (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign)

  • Gordon Peter

    (University of Southern California)

  • Moore James E

    (University of Southern California)

  • Richardson Harry W.

    (University of Southern California)

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is two-fold. First, we suggest an analytical framework to study the full economic impacts of hypothetical bio-terrorist attacks on various targets. We particularly emphasize the importance of estimating economic impacts that occur through systems and behavior linkages beyond direct losses. Second, we provide a case study that analyzes the economic impacts of an attack on a major league sports stadium. The estimated loss from the stadium attack ranges from $62 billion to $73 billion. The largest loss comes from the loss of lives, followed by the reduced demand for sports stadium visits. We demonstrate that available off-the-shelf impact models (in this case IMPLAN) can be utilized, via the development of detailed but plausible scenarios grounded in available data and literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Lee Bumsoo & Gordon Peter & Moore James E & Richardson Harry W., 2008. "Simulating the Economic Impacts of a Hypothetical Bio-Terrorist Attack: A Sports Stadium Case," Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, De Gruyter, vol. 5(1), pages 1-22, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:bpj:johsem:v:5:y:2008:i:1:p:22:n:31
    DOI: 10.2202/1547-7355.1437
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