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Price‐level co‐movements within currency unions: An alternative integration metric

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  • Gregory W. Whitten

Abstract

This paper analyses currency union integration by testing whether price levels in member countries possess a common stochastic trend. The trace statistic test for cointegration proposed by (Johansen, 1995) demonstrates the presence of such a trend for most unions. A disaggregated analysis identifies a common stochastic trend for several though fewer than half of country pairs within a union. Some unions such as the Eurozone have small shares of cointegrated country pairs. Yet, the share of cointegrated country pairs is large relative to countries outside currency unions. Comparison to a control group (country pairs where one country belongs to a given union and the other country does not) indicates that the cointegration found within a currency union is a union‐specific trait and not a feature of the individual countries within the union. These results provide an alternative metric to intraunion trade for gauging the extent of currency union integration.

Suggested Citation

  • Gregory W. Whitten, 2018. "Price‐level co‐movements within currency unions: An alternative integration metric," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(9), pages 2414-2438, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:worlde:v:41:y:2018:i:9:p:2414-2438
    DOI: 10.1111/twec.12639
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    Cited by:

    1. Gregory Whitten & Xiaoyi Dai & Simon Fan & Yu Pang, 2020. "Do political relations affect international trade? Evidence from China’s twelve trading partners," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 1-24, December.

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