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Evaluating and mitigating locally and nationally variable food security dynamics in Guatemala through participatory causal loop diagram building

Author

Listed:
  • Juliana Isaac
  • Jaime Luís Carrera
  • Ottoniel Monterroso Rivas
  • Juventino Gálvez Ruano
  • María Rueda Martínez
  • Azam Khowaja
  • Julian Russell
  • Julien Malard‐Adam
  • Humberto Monardes
  • Jan Adamowski
  • Hugo Melgar‐Quiñonez

Abstract

Various methods have been proposed to analyze national trends of malnutrition and food insecurity; however, these methods often fail to consider regional specificities that drive national food security dynamics. This case study seeks to close this gap through the novel use of participatory causal loop diagrams (CLDs) to analyze the malnutrition crisis and food security dynamics across diverse regions of Guatemala. Stakeholders from six municipalities with divergent food security outcomes, within territories of similar socioeconomic composition, created CLDs by identifying trends, causes, and consequences of malnutrition and food security. Characterizing and assessing these trends, referred to as the food security dynamic, are the primary goals of this paper. Key results include identification of the complex reinforcing relationship between marginalization, education, and health, which affects food insecurity and malnutrition in Guatemala in a nonlinear way. These results elucidate how similar communities can experience divergent food security outcomes and inform locally appropriate solutions. © 2023 The Authors. System Dynamics Review published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of System Dynamics Society.

Suggested Citation

  • Juliana Isaac & Jaime Luís Carrera & Ottoniel Monterroso Rivas & Juventino Gálvez Ruano & María Rueda Martínez & Azam Khowaja & Julian Russell & Julien Malard‐Adam & Humberto Monardes & Jan Adamowski , 2023. "Evaluating and mitigating locally and nationally variable food security dynamics in Guatemala through participatory causal loop diagram building," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 39(3), pages 239-276, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:sysdyn:v:39:y:2023:i:3:p:239-276
    DOI: 10.1002/sdr.1739
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Malard-Adam, Julien & Adamowski, Jan & Tuy, Héctor & Melgar-Quiñonez, Hugo, 2024. "Modelling Indigenous small-scale agriculture and food systems in Guatemala - Hybrid Bayesian inference for data-poor regions," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).

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