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The effect of the 2020 racial justice protests on attitudes and preferences in rural and urban America

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  • Justin Curtis

Abstract

Objective This paper seeks to understand the impact of sustained protests for racial justice on attitudes toward racial minorities, the police, and policies that would benefit racial minorities. Methods Using a large, nationally representative survey collected before and after the death of George Floyd and the protest movement that followed it, I employ a propensity score matching to identify the causal impact of these protests on perceptions of discrimination against blacks, favorability of the police, racial prejudice, and support for reparations for slavery. I also identify heterogeneous effects in rural America to identify the limits of these attitude shifts. Results I find evidence that George Floyd's death caused an increased perception of discrimination against blacks, decreased favorability of the police, decreased racial prejudice, and increased support for reparations. I also find muted and heterogeneous effects in rural America. Conclusion These findings speak to the power of social protest to shift attitudes and policy preferences and to the persistent divide between urban and rural Americans.

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  • Justin Curtis, 2022. "The effect of the 2020 racial justice protests on attitudes and preferences in rural and urban America," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 103(1), pages 90-107, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:socsci:v:103:y:2022:i:1:p:90-107
    DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13105
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Andreas Madestam & Daniel Shoag & Stan Veuger & David Yanagizawa-Drott, 2013. "Do Political Protests Matter? Evidence from the Tea Party Movement," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 128(4), pages 1633-1685.
    2. Sophia J. Wallace & Chris Zepeda‐Millán & Michael Jones‐Correa, 2014. "Spatial and Temporal Proximity: Examining the Effects of Protests on Political Attitudes," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 58(2), pages 433-448, April.
    3. Enos, Ryan D. & Kaufman, Aaron R. & Sands, Melissa L., 2019. "Can Violent Protest Change Local Policy Support? Evidence from the Aftermath of the 1992 Los Angeles Riot," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 113(4), pages 1012-1028, November.
    4. Thomas Craemer, 2015. "Estimating Slavery Reparations: Present Value Comparisons of Historical Multigenerational Reparations Policies," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 96(2), pages 639-655, June.
    5. Ho, Daniel E. & Imai, Kosuke & King, Gary & Stuart, Elizabeth A., 2007. "Matching as Nonparametric Preprocessing for Reducing Model Dependence in Parametric Causal Inference," Political Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(3), pages 199-236, July.
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    7. Stanley Feldman & Leonie Huddy, 2005. "Racial Resentment and White Opposition to Race‐Conscious Programs: Principles or Prejudice?," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 49(1), pages 168-183, January.
    8. Regina Branton & Valerie Martinez‐Ebers & Tony E. Carey & Tetsuya Matsubayashi, 2015. "Social Protest and Policy Attitudes: The Case of the 2006 Immigrant Rallies," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 59(2), pages 390-402, February.
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