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Competing with precision: incentives for developing predictive biomarker tests

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  • Kurt R. Brekke
  • Dag Morten Dalen
  • Odd Rune Straume

Abstract

We study the incentives of drug producers to develop predictive biomarkers, taking into account strategic interaction between drug producers and health plans. For this purpose, we develop a two‐dimensional spatial framework that allows us to capture the informational role of biomarkers and their effects on price competition and treatment choices. Although biomarkers increase the information available to prescribers, we identify an anticompetitive effect on the prices set by producers of therapeutically substitutable drugs. We also find that better information about each patient's most therapeutically appropriate drug does not necessarily lead to more efficient treatment outcomes.

Suggested Citation

  • Kurt R. Brekke & Dag Morten Dalen & Odd Rune Straume, 2024. "Competing with precision: incentives for developing predictive biomarker tests," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 126(1), pages 60-97, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:scandj:v:126:y:2024:i:1:p:60-97
    DOI: 10.1111/sjoe.12543
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    1. Bardey, D. & Bommier, A. & Jullien, B., 2010. "Retail price regulation and innovation: Reference pricing in the pharmaceutical industry," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 303-316, March.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • I11 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Analysis of Health Care Markets
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • L13 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Oligopoly and Other Imperfect Markets
    • L65 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - Chemicals; Rubber; Drugs; Biotechnology; Plastics

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