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Forecasting Investment Needs In South Africa'S Electricity And Telecom Sectors

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  • żeljko Bogetić
  • Johannes W. Fedderke

Abstract

The paper uses 52‐country panel‐data for the period 1980‐2002 to estimate demand for electricity and telecom services and, based on these estimates, project investment needs in South Africa through 2010 for two growth scenarios. Projections of average annual investment needs in electricity and telecom for the current growth scenario (3.6% per annum) are of the order of 0.2% and 0.75% of GDP, respectively. An alternative, accelerated growth scenario (6% per annum) implies an approximate doubling of investment needs in these sectors.

Suggested Citation

  • żeljko Bogetić & Johannes W. Fedderke, 2006. "Forecasting Investment Needs In South Africa'S Electricity And Telecom Sectors," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 74(3), pages 557-574, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:sajeco:v:74:y:2006:i:3:p:557-574
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1813-6982.2006.00079.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    3. Thomas M. Fullerton & George Novela & David Torres & Adam G. Walke, 2015. "Metropolitan Econometric Electric Utility Forecast Accuracy," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 5(3), pages 738-745.
    4. Harris, Tom & Collinson, Mark & Wittenberg, Martin, 2017. "Aiming for a Moving Target: The Dynamics of Household Electricity Connections in a Developing Context," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 14-26.

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