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Sovereign Risk, FDI Spillovers, and Growth

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  • Lilia Maliar
  • Serguei Maliar
  • Fidel Pérez Sebastián

Abstract

This paper studies the effect of sovereign risk on capital flows from rich to poor nations in the context of a two‐country model, where Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) creates positive externalities in domestic production. We show that if externalities are large, a developing country never expropriates foreign assets, and behaves as under perfect enforcement of foreigners' property rights, jumping to the steady state in one period. If externalities are absent, a developing country always expropriates foreign assets and, then, there are no capital flows in equilibrium, as occurs in autarky. If externalities are of a medium size, our model can account for scarce capital flows from rich to poor nations, as well as other key features of the data, such as rising‐over‐time patterns of foreign capital and FDI in developing countries. In addition, the model offers an economic rationale for the FDI restrictions observed across nations.

Suggested Citation

  • Lilia Maliar & Serguei Maliar & Fidel Pérez Sebastián, 2008. "Sovereign Risk, FDI Spillovers, and Growth," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(3), pages 463-477, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:reviec:v:16:y:2008:i:3:p:463-477
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9396.2007.00718.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Arellano, Cristina & Maliar, Lilia & Maliar, Serguei & Tsyrennikov, Viktor, 2016. "Envelope condition method with an application to default risk models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 436-459.
    2. Dionísio Dias Carneiro & Thomas Wu, 2010. "Sovereign Risk and Out‐of‐Equilibrium Exchange Rate Dynamics," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(4), pages 699-711, November.
    3. Mahmut Yaşar & Catherine J. Morrison Paul, 2009. "Size and Foreign Ownership Effects on Productivity and Efficiency: An Analysis of Turkish Motor Vehicle and Parts Plants," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(4), pages 576-591, November.
    4. Chen, Feiqiong & Zhong, Fangfang & Chen, Yao, 2014. "Outward foreign direct investment and sovereign risks in developing host country," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 166-172.

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