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Forecasting the Discounts of Market Prices from Appraised Values for Real Estate Limited Partnerships

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  • Brad M. Barber

Abstract

A vexing problem for the appraisal industry has been estimating an appropriate discount for the value of real estate limited partnerships (RELPs) relative to their appraised value. This research develops a linear regression model that explains over 80% of the cross‐sectional variation in discounts across 60 RELPs using characteristics of each partnership. Among a holdout sample of 41 RELPs, the model provides forecasts of discounts that are superior to assuming no discount or applying a mean discount to all partnerships. Discounts are greatest for RELPs with low current yields, low leverage and high trading ranges for their market prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Brad M. Barber, 1996. "Forecasting the Discounts of Market Prices from Appraised Values for Real Estate Limited Partnerships," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 24(4), pages 471-491, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:reesec:v:24:y:1996:i:4:p:471-491
    DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.00700
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    Cited by:

    1. David Barker & Kiat Ying Seah & James D. Shilling, 2019. "How Big of a Lemons Market is the Secondary Market for Private Equity Real Estate Limited Partnerships?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 59(3), pages 391-418, October.
    2. Yener Coskun & Isil Erol & Giacomo Morri, 2021. "Why do Turkish REITs trade at discount to net asset value?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(5), pages 2227-2259, May.
    3. Ebrahim, M. Shahid & Mathur, Ike, 2013. "On the efficiency of the UPREIT organizational form: Implications for the subprime crisis and CDO's," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 286-305.
    4. Dow,Gregory K., 2019. "The Labor-Managed Firm," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107589650, October.
    5. Chang N. Xuan & Daniel C. Quan, 2002. "Pricing Limited Partnerships in the Secondary Market," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 23(3), pages 215-234.
    6. Gregory Dow, 2014. "Partnership markets with adverse selection," Review of Economic Design, Springer;Society for Economic Design, vol. 18(2), pages 105-126, June.

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