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Housing and the Weather

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  • John L. Goodman

Abstract

Monthly readings on housing construction and sales that are at odds with expectations are often attributed to unusual weather conditions. This paper examines the empirical relationship between weather abnormalities and housing activity. The conclusion is that unseasonable weather patterns have, at most, a slight impact on total housing starts, home sales, and the pace of construction activity. Even this weak effect is found only during the winter months. Sampling error accounts for much more of the month‐to‐month changes in measured housing activity than does the weather, and there is a general tendency to exaggerate the influence of unusual weather on the monthly national housing data.

Suggested Citation

  • John L. Goodman, 1987. "Housing and the Weather," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 15(1), pages 638-663, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:reesec:v:15:y:1987:i:1:p:638-663
    DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.00408
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    Cited by:

    1. David Dale-Johnson, 1999. "Anatomy of a Market Crash: Suburban Housing Supply in California: 1989 - 1994," Working Paper 8652, USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
    2. Mark T. Cammarota, 1989. "The Impact of Unseasonable Weather on Housing Starts," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 17(3), pages 300-313, September.
    3. Ball, Michael & Meen, Geoffrey & Nygaard, Christian, 2010. "Housing supply price elasticities revisited: Evidence from international, national, local and company data," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 255-268, December.
    4. John V. Duca, 1996. "Can mortgage applications help predict home sales?," Economic and Financial Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q IV, pages 21-30.

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