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The impact of advertising regulation on industry: the cigarette advertising ban of 1971

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  • Shi Qi

Abstract

This paper develops and estimates a dynamic oligopoly model of advertising in the cigarette industry. With this estimated model, I evaluate the impact of the 1971 TV/Radio advertising ban on the cigarette industry. A puzzling fact about this ban is that, while industry advertising spending decreased sharply immediately following its passage, spending then recovered and actually exceeded its pre-ban level within five years. While simple static models cannot account for such a turn of events, the rich dynamic model developed in this paper can. This paper exploits previously confidential micro data, now made public through tobacco litigation. In addition, the paper uses a new concept of Oblivious Equilibrium to handle intractable state space and accelerate equilibrium computation.
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  • Shi Qi, 2013. "The impact of advertising regulation on industry: the cigarette advertising ban of 1971," RAND Journal of Economics, RAND Corporation, vol. 44(2), pages 215-248, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:randje:v:44:y:2013:i:2:p:215-248
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/rand.2013.44.issue-2
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    Cited by:

    1. Michael Cohen & Rui Huang, 2012. "Corporate Social Responsibility for Kids’ Sake: A Dynamic Model of Firm Participation," Working Papers 12, University of Connecticut, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Charles J. Zwick Center for Food and Resource Policy.
    2. Pierre Dubois & Rachel Griffith & Martin O’Connell, 2018. "The Effects of Banning Advertising in Junk Food Markets," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 85(1), pages 396-436.
    3. Yuqing Zheng & Chen Zhen & Daniel Dench & James M. Nonnemaker, 2017. "U.S. Demand for Tobacco Products in a System Framework," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(8), pages 1067-1086, August.
    4. Hong Liu & John A. Rizzo & Qi Sun & Fang Wu, 2015. "How Do Smokers Respond to Cigarette Taxes? Evidence from China's Cigarette Industry," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(10), pages 1314-1330, October.
    5. Galinato, Gregmar I. & Olanie, Aaron Z. & Yoder, Jonathan K., 2017. "The Trade and Health Effects of Tobacco Regulations," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 42(3), September.
    6. Linli Xu & Jorge M. Silva-Risso & Kenneth C. Wilbur, 2018. "Dynamic Quality Ladder Model Predictions in Nonrandom Holdout Samples," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 64(7), pages 3187-3207, July.
    7. Qiang Liu & Sachin Gupta & Sriram Venkataraman & Hongju Liu, 2016. "An Empirical Model of Drug Detailing: Dynamic Competition and Policy Implications," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(8), pages 2321-2340, August.
    8. Sylvia Hristakeva & Julie Holland Mortimer, 2023. "Price Dispersion and Legacy Discounts in the National Television Advertising Market," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 42(6), pages 1162-1183, November.
    9. Ron N. Borkovsky, 2017. "The timing of version releases: A dynamic duopoly model," Quantitative Marketing and Economics (QME), Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 187-239, September.
    10. Cohen, Michael & Huang, Rui, 2012. "Corporate Social Responsibility for Kids’ Sake: A Dynamic Model of Firm Participation," Working Paper series 148347, University of Connecticut, Charles J. Zwick Center for Food and Resource Policy.
    11. Andrew Sweeting, 2015. "A Model of Non-Stationary Dynamic Price Competition with an Application to Platform Design," Working Papers 15-03, NET Institute.

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