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Determinants of international tourist choices in Italian provinces: A joint demand–supply approach with spatial effects

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  • Tomaso Pompili
  • Maurizio Pisati
  • Eleonora Lorenzini

Abstract

Only recently is research merging demand and supply approaches in explaining tourist market equilibria. This paper innovates in three ways. One: we jointly consider demand and supply explanatory variables and spillover effects originating from contiguous areas by designing a unilateral gravity model augmented with spatial effects (spatial Durbin model). Two: we raise the economic profile by prioritizing an expenditure variable over flow variables (arrivals, overnight stays, length of stay) and taking into account travel costs (via the origin–destination distance). Three: we differentiate spatial contexts by focusing on international tourist origins and on local (NUTS3) destinations. Results confirm previous literature only in part. La investigación que combina los enfoques de la oferta y la demanda para explicar los equilibrios del mercado turístico es reciente. Este artículo innova de tres maneras. Primera: se consideran conjuntamente las variables explicativas de la oferta y la demanda y los efectos de spillover que se originan en áreas contiguas mediante el diseño de un modelo de gravedad unilateral amplificado con efectos espaciales (modelo espacial de Durbin). Segunda: se da más importancia al perfil económico priorizando una variable de gasto por encima de las variables de flujo (llegadas, pernoctaciones, duración de la estancia) y teniendo en cuenta los costos de viaje (mediante la distancia origen‐destino). Tercera: se diferencian los contextos espaciales, centrándose en los orígenes del turismo internacional y en los destinos locales (NUTS3). Los resultados tan solo confirman en parte la literatura anterior. 最近になってようやく、旅行・観光市場の均衡の説明に、需要と供給を統合するアプローチを用いた研究が行われるようになった。本研究は、以下の3つの点において斬新である。1)片側重力モデル (空間ダービンモデル)に空間効果を加えたデザインを用いることにより、需要と供給の説明変数と隣接地域から発せられる波及効果を合わせて検討する。2)フロー変数 (来訪者数、宿泊日数、滞在期間の長さ)よりも支出変数を優先させ、移動コスト (出発地と目的地の距離による)を考慮に入れることで経済プロファイルを高める。3)国外からの観光客の出発地およびNUTS3レベルの地域の目的地に注目して空間的コンテキストの差別化を行う。本研究により再確認できた既存研究の結果は一部のみである。

Suggested Citation

  • Tomaso Pompili & Maurizio Pisati & Eleonora Lorenzini, 2019. "Determinants of international tourist choices in Italian provinces: A joint demand–supply approach with spatial effects," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 98(6), pages 2251-2273, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:presci:v:98:y:2019:i:6:p:2251-2273
    DOI: 10.1111/pirs.12467
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    Cited by:

    1. David Boto‐García & Antonio Alvarez & José Baños, 2021. "Modelling heterogeneous preferences for nature‐based tourism trips," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 100(6), pages 1625-1653, December.
    2. Jose I Castillo-Manzano & Mercedes Castro-Nuño & Lourdes Lopez-Valpuesta & à lvaro Zarzoso, 2021. "Quality versus quantity: An assessment of the impact of Michelin-starred restaurants on tourism in Spain," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(5), pages 1166-1174, August.
    3. Enrico Conti & Laura Grassini & Catia Monicolini, 2020. "Tourism competitiveness of Italian municipalities," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 54(5), pages 1745-1767, December.
    4. Salvatore Costantino & Maria Francesca Cracolici & J. Paul Elhorst, 2023. "A spatial origin‐destination approach for the analysis of local tourism demand in Italy," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 102(2), pages 393-419, April.
    5. Bernardina Algieri & Antonio à lvarez, 2023. "Assessing the ability of regions to attract foreign tourists: The case of Italy," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(3), pages 788-811, May.
    6. Martin Thomas Falk & Eva Hagsten & Xiang Lin, 2022. "Domestic tourism demand in the North and the South of Europe in the Covid-19 summer of 2020," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 69(2), pages 537-553, October.
    7. Elisa Panzera & Thomas de Graaff & Henri L.F. de Groot, 2021. "European cultural heritage and tourism flows: The magnetic role of superstar World Heritage Sites," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 100(1), pages 101-122, February.
    8. Jaume Rosselló Nadal & María Santana Gallego, 2022. "Gravity models for tourism demand modeling: Empirical review and outlook," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 1358-1409, December.
    9. Francesco Scotti & Andrea Flori & Piercesare Secchi & Marika Arena & Giovanni Azzone, 2024. "Heterogeneous drivers of overnight and same-day visits," Papers 2402.05679, arXiv.org.
    10. Gour Gobinda Goswami & Meshbaul Hassan Chowdhury & Mostafizur Rahman & Mahnaz Aftabi Atique, 2024. "Australian Tourist Flow: A Gravity Model Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-14, July.
    11. Fabio Mazzola & Pietro Pizzuto & Giovanni Ruggieri, 2022. "Tourism and territorial growth determinants in insular regions: A comparison with mainland regions for some European countries (2008–2019)," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 101(6), pages 1331-1382, December.

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