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Modelling the dynamics of internal migration flows in Spain

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  • María Hierro

Abstract

This paper presents a novel method for modelling internal migration dynamics using non‐stationary causative matrices. Its application to annual migration flows in Spain reveals changes in location preferences of migrants between 1986 and 2003. Our approach also indicates some instability in Spain's migratory system prior to the late 1990s, as opposed to a negligible instability after that. Resumen Este artículo presenta un método novedoso para modelizar las dinámicas de migración interna utilizando matrices causales no estacionarias. Su aplicación a flujos migratorios anuales en España revela cambios en las preferencias de localización de inmigrantes entre 1986 y 2003. Nuestro enfoque indica también cierta inestabilidad en el sistema migratorio español anterior al final de los años 90, en contraposición a una inestabilidad despreciable después de ese periodo.

Suggested Citation

  • María Hierro, 2009. "Modelling the dynamics of internal migration flows in Spain," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 88(3), pages 683-692, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:presci:v:88:y:2009:i:3:p:683-692
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1435-5957.2008.00207.x
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    2. Jaewon Lim & Jae Hong Kim, 2019. "Joint Determination of Residential Relocation and Commuting: A Forecasting Experiment for Sustainable Land Use and Transportation Planning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-24, January.
    3. Jorge González Chapela & Sergi Jiménez-Martín & Judit Vall Castello, 2023. "Education and internal migration: evidence from a child labor reform in Spain," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 14(2), pages 143-164, June.
    4. Rickard Sandell, 2011. "The migration flux: Understanding international immigration through internal migration," Working Papers 2011-20, Instituto Madrileño de Estudios Avanzados (IMDEA) Ciencias Sociales.
    5. Josep-Maria Arauzo-Carod & Daniel Liviano-Solís, 2012. "Migration Determinants at a Local Level," ERSA conference papers ersa12p500, European Regional Science Association.
    6. Diego R. Medina-Muñoz & Rita D. Medina-Muñoz, 2012. "Determinants of Expenditures on Wellness Services: The Case of Gran Canaria," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(3), pages 309-319, June.
    7. Patrice Dion, 2017. "An Alternative to Fixed Transition Probabilities for the Projection of Interprovincial Migration in Canada," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 36(6), pages 871-901, December.

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