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Estimating the Consequences of Unintended Fertility for Child Health and Education in Romania: An Analysis Using Twins Data

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  • Peter J. Glick
  • Alessandra Marini
  • David E. Sahn

Abstract

We use the natural experiment of twins at first birth to estimate the effects of unplanned fertility on the nutritional status and school enrolment of children in Romania, a country with a unique fertility history. A first‐birth twins shock has negative impacts on children's human capital investments, particularly for later‐born siblings. We infer that harsh pronatalist policies prior to the 1989 Revolution had adverse consequences for the human capital of Romanian children, and that policies to make fertility control easier will have significant positive impacts on children's health and schooling.

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  • Peter J. Glick & Alessandra Marini & David E. Sahn, 2007. "Estimating the Consequences of Unintended Fertility for Child Health and Education in Romania: An Analysis Using Twins Data," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 69(5), pages 667-691, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:obuest:v:69:y:2007:i:5:p:667-691
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0084.2007.00476.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jungmin Lee, 2008. "Sibling size and investment in children’s education: an asian instrument," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 21(4), pages 855-875, October.
    2. Gary S. Becker, 1960. "An Economic Analysis of Fertility," NBER Chapters, in: Demographic and Economic Change in Developed Countries, pages 209-240, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    2. Francis Menjo Baye and Dinven Djibril Sitan, 2016. "Causes and Child Health Consequences of Maternal Fertility Choices in Cameroon," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 41(4), pages 79-100, December.
    3. Daniel L. Millimet & Le Wang, 2011. "Is the Quantity-Quality Trade-Off a Trade-Off for All, None, or Some?," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 60(1), pages 155-195.
    4. Aniceto C. Orbeta, 2006. "Poverty, Vulnerability and Family Size: Evidence from the Philippines," Chapters, in: John Weiss & Haider A. Khan (ed.), Poverty Strategies in Asia, chapter 6, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    5. Huang, Yue, 2015. "Does A Child Quantity-Quality Trade-Off Exist? Evidence from the One-Child Policy in China," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113215, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    6. Orbeta, Aniceto Jr. C., 2006. "Children and Household Savings in the Philippines," Discussion Papers DP 2006-14, Philippine Institute for Development Studies.
    7. Daniel Mont & Cuong Viet Nguyen & Anh Tran, 2020. "The Effect of Sibship Size on Children’s Outcomes: Evidence from Vietnam," Child Indicators Research, Springer;The International Society of Child Indicators (ISCI), vol. 13(1), pages 147-173, February.
    8. Aizawa, Toshiaki, 2019. "Ex-ante Inequality of Opportunity in Child Malnutrition: New Evidence from Ten Developing Countries in Asia," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 144-161.
    9. Jesper Bagger & Javier A Birchenall & Hani Mansour & Sergio Urzúa, 2021. "Education, Birth Order and Family Size [Family size and children’s education in Vietnam]," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 131(633), pages 33-69.
    10. Yue Huang, 2022. "Family Size and Children’s Education: Evidence from the One-Child Policy in China," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 41(1), pages 317-342, February.
    11. Aniceto C. Orbeta Jr., 2009. "Number of children and their education in Philippine households," Philippine Review of Economics, University of the Philippines School of Economics and Philippine Economic Society, vol. 46(2), pages 123-154, December.
    12. Datar, Ashlesha, 2017. "The more the heavier? Family size and childhood obesity in the U.S," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 143-151.
    13. Adriana D. Kugler & Santosh Kumar, 2017. "Preference for Boys, Family Size, and Educational Attainment in India," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 54(3), pages 835-859, June.
    14. Anna Baranowska-Rataj & Xavier de Luna & Anneli Ivarsson, 2016. "Does the number of siblings affect health in midlife? Evidence from the Swedish Prescribed Drug Register," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 35(43), pages 1259-1302.
    15. Nooshin Rashti Mohammad & Ali Taieb Nia & Sajjad Barkhordari, 2024. "The Casual Effect of Family Size on the Human Capital in Iranian Society," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(1), pages 4056-4071, March.
    16. Mohammad Jakaria & Rejaul Karim Bakshi & M. Mehedi Hasan, 2022. "Is maternal employment detrimental to children’s nutritional status? Evidence from Bangladesh," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(1), pages 85-111, February.
    17. Xinxin Mu & Shenghu Chen, 2022. "Family-Size Effect on Intergenerational Income Mobility under China’s Family Planning Policy: Testing the Quantity–Quality Trade-Off," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-13, October.
    18. Bonner, Suzanne & Sarkar, Dipanwita, 2018. "The quality-quantity trade-off among Australian children," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 383-389.
    19. Kumar, Santosh & Kugler, Adriana, 2011. "Testing the Children Quantity-Quality Trade-Off in India," MPRA Paper 42487, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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