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The Effect of an Artificial Pitch Surface on Home Team Performance in Football (Soccer)

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  • V. Barnett
  • S. Hilditch

Abstract

Four teams in the four divisions of the English Football League have been playing their home matches on artificial pitch surfaces at certain times over the last 10 years or so. A Commission of Enquiry (Football League, 1989) recently recommended that the introduction of further artificial pitches be restricted. One of the factors leading to this recommendation was the possible advantage gained by the home team on such pitches. A statistical analysis of the end‐of‐season results for the four divisions over the last 10 years (carried out for the Football League) showed that there is indeed such an advantage and that it is of a sufficient scale to be a cause for concern.

Suggested Citation

  • V. Barnett & S. Hilditch, 1993. "The Effect of an Artificial Pitch Surface on Home Team Performance in Football (Soccer)," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 156(1), pages 39-50, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssa:v:156:y:1993:i:1:p:39-50
    DOI: 10.2307/2982859
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    Cited by:

    1. Jan C. van Ours, 2017. "Artificial Pitches and Unfair Home Advantage in Professional Football," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-093/V, Tinbergen Institute.
    2. Michela Ponzo & Vincenzo Scoppa, 2018. "Does the Home Advantage Depend on Crowd Support? Evidence From Same-Stadium Derbies," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 19(4), pages 562-582, May.
    3. Siem Jan Koopman & Rutger Lit, 2015. "A dynamic bivariate Poisson model for analysing and forecasting match results in the English Premier League," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 178(1), pages 167-186, January.
    4. Alex Krumer & Felix Otto & Tim Pawlowski, 2022. "Nationalistic bias among international experts: evidence from professional ski jumping," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 124(1), pages 278-300, January.
    5. Dobson, Stephen & Goddard, John, 2003. "Persistence in sequences of football match results: A Monte Carlo analysis," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 148(2), pages 247-256, July.
    6. Chitresh Kumar & Girish Balasubramanian, 2023. "Comparative Analysis of Pitch Ratings in All Formats of Cricket," Management and Labour Studies, XLRI Jamshedpur, School of Business Management & Human Resources, vol. 48(3), pages 307-324, August.
    7. Sergio Destefanis & Francesco Addesa & Giambattista Rossi, 2022. "The impact of COVID-19 on home advantage: a conditional order-m analysis of football clubs’ efficiency in the top-5 European leagues," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(58), pages 6639-6655, December.
    8. van Ours, Jan C., 2017. "Artificial Pitches and Unfair Home Advantage in Professional Football," CEPR Discussion Papers 12341, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    9. Thomas Peeters & Jan C. Ours, 2021. "Seasonal Home Advantage in English Professional Football; 1974–2018," De Economist, Springer, vol. 169(1), pages 107-126, February.
    10. César Velázquez Guadarrama & Juan Martín Hernández Velázquez, 2024. "La presión social en la toma de decisiones: la ventaja del equipo local en el fútbol mexicano/Social pressure in decision making: Home advantage in Mexican football," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 39(2), pages 279–310-2.
    11. Goddard, John, 2005. "Regression models for forecasting goals and match results in association football," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 331-340.
    12. Thomas Peeters & Jan C. van Ours, 2020. "Seasonal Home Advantage in English Professional Football; 1973-2018," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 20-025/V, Tinbergen Institute.
    13. Liam Kneafsey & Stefan Müller, 2018. "Assessing the influence of neutral grounds on match outcomes," International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(6), pages 892-905, November.
    14. Audas, Rick & Dobson, Stephen & Goddard, John, 2002. "The impact of managerial change on team performance in professional sports," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 54(6), pages 633-650.
    15. Ioannis Asimakopoulos & John Goddard, 2004. "Forecasting football results and the efficiency of fixed-odds betting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(1), pages 51-66.
    16. Hvattum Lars Magnus, 2015. "Playing on artificial turf may be an advantage for Norwegian soccer teams," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 11(3), pages 183-192, September.
    17. Fiona Carmichael & Dennis Thomas, 2005. "Home-Field Effect and Team Performance," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 6(3), pages 264-281, August.
    18. Marshall B. Jones, 2019. "The Sustained Reduction-by-Half of Home Advantage in the NHL, 1991-1992 to 2000-2001," SAGE Open, , vol. 9(1), pages 21582440198, February.
    19. Jan C. Ours, 2019. "A Note on Artificial Pitches and Home Advantage in Dutch Professional Football," De Economist, Springer, vol. 167(1), pages 89-103, March.

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