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Where Is the Risk in Value? Evidence from a Market‐to‐Book Decomposition

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  • ANDREY GOLUBOV
  • THEODOSIA KONSTANTINIDI

Abstract

We study the value premium using the multiples‐based market‐to‐book decomposition of Rhodes‐Kropf, Robinson, and Viswanathan (2005). The market‐to‐value component drives all of the value strategy return, while the value‐to‐book component exhibits no return predictability in either portfolio sorts or firm‐level regressions. Existing results linking market‐to‐book to operating leverage, duration, exposure to investment‐specific technology shocks, and analysts’ risk ratings derive from the unpriced value‐to‐book component. In contrast, results on expectation errors, limits to arbitrage, and certain types of cash flow risk and consumption risk exposure are due to the market‐to‐value component. Overall, our evidence casts doubt on several value premium theories.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrey Golubov & Theodosia Konstantinidi, 2019. "Where Is the Risk in Value? Evidence from a Market‐to‐Book Decomposition," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 74(6), pages 3135-3186, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:74:y:2019:i:6:p:3135-3186
    DOI: 10.1111/jofi.12836
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    Cited by:

    1. Gonçalves, Andrei S. & Leonard, Gregory, 2023. "The fundamental-to-market ratio and the value premium decline," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(2), pages 382-405.
    2. Thummim Cho & Christopher Polk, 2024. "Putting the Price in Asset Pricing," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(6), pages 3943-3984, December.
    3. Merkle, Christoph & Sextroh, Christoph J., 2021. "Value and momentum from investors’ perspective: Evidence from professionals’ risk-ratings," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 159-178.
    4. Yin, Libo & Liao, Huiyi, 2024. "Anatomy of recent value premium's travails," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    5. Cong, Lin William & George, Nathan Darden & Wang, Guojun, 2023. "RIM-based value premium and factor pricing using value-price divergence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    6. Michael Hasler & Mariana Khapko & Roberto Marfè, 2020. "Rational Learning and the Term Structures of Value and Growth Risk Premia," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 622, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    7. Vogt, Jan, 2021. "Managerial market timing: What is the pot size for long-term shareholders assuming firm management acts in their best interest and does have an informational advantage?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    8. Bretscher, Lorenzo & Malkhozov, Aytek & Tamoni, Andrea, 2021. "Expectations and aggregate risk," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 91-108.
    9. Borup, Daniel & Schütte, Erik Christian Montes, 2022. "Asset pricing with data revisions," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 59(PB).
    10. Konstantinidi, Theodosia, 2022. "Firm life cycle, expectation errors and future stock returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    11. Bao, May Xiaoyan & Crabtree, Aaron & Morris, Marc & Wan, Huishan, 2023. "Equity misvaluation and debt markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).

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