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The 1985 Ohio Thrift Crisis, the FSLIC's Solvency, and Rate Contagion for Retail CDs

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  • Cooperman, Elizabeth S
  • Lee, Winson B
  • Wolfe, Glenn A

Abstract

This paper uses both an ARIMA transfer-function intervention model and a panel data analysis to examine the effect of the Ohio deposit insurance crisis in 1985 on the pricing of six-month retail certificates of deposit (CDs) for federally-insured Ohio banks and savings and loans. Adjusting for pricing reactions due to changes in market rates, the authors find a significant, unanticipated rise in CD-rate premiums on the initial event week of the crisis that continued for approximately seven weeks. Consistent with a contingent insurance guarantee hypothesis, rate premiums are found to be risk based. Copyright 1992 by American Finance Association.

Suggested Citation

  • Cooperman, Elizabeth S & Lee, Winson B & Wolfe, Glenn A, 1992. "The 1985 Ohio Thrift Crisis, the FSLIC's Solvency, and Rate Contagion for Retail CDs," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(3), pages 919-941, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:47:y:1992:i:3:p:919-41
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    Cited by:

    1. De Bandt, Olivier & Hartmann, Philipp, 2000. "Systemic risk: A survey," Working Paper Series 35, European Central Bank.
    2. Henry, Jérôme & Zimmermann, Maik & Leber, Miha & Kolb, Markus & Grodzicki, Maciej & Amzallag, Adrien & Vouldis, Angelos & Hałaj, Grzegorz & Pancaro, Cosimo & Gross, Marco & Baudino, Patrizia & Sydow, , 2013. "A macro stress testing framework for assessing systemic risks in the banking sector," Occasional Paper Series 152, European Central Bank.
    3. J.A. Bikker & D.F. Gerritsen & Steffie M. Schwillens, 2016. "Competing for savings: how important is creditworthiness during the crisis?," Working Papers 16-01, Utrecht School of Economics.
    4. DeGennaro, Ramon P. & Thomson, James B., 1995. "Anticipating bailouts: The incentive-conflict model and the collapse of the Ohio deposit guarantee fund," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(8), pages 1401-1418, November.
    5. Kay Giesecke & Baeho Kim, 2011. "Systemic Risk: What Defaults Are Telling Us," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 57(8), pages 1387-1405, August.
    6. Guo, Lin & Prezas, Alexandros P., 2019. "Market monitoring and influence: evidence from deposit pricing and liability composition from 1986 to 2013," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 146-166.
    7. Kishan, Ruby P. & Opiela, Timothy P., 2017. "Risk pricing of wholesale funds and the behavior of retail deposit rates," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 668-681.
    8. Whyte, Ann Marie, 1998. "The impact of dealer failures on primary dealers and on the market for repurchase agreements," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 35-53.
    9. Strahan, Philip E., 1995. "Asset returns and economic disasters evidence from the S&L crisis," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 189-217, August.
    10. Guo, Lin, 2003. "Inferring market information from the price and quantity of S&L deposits," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(11), pages 2177-2202, November.
    11. Gilkeson, James H. & Porter, Gary E. & Smith, Stanley D., 2000. "The impact of the early withdrawal option on time deposit pricing," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 107-120.
    12. Lehar, Alfred, 2005. "Measuring systemic risk: A risk management approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(10), pages 2577-2603, October.
    13. Brooks, Robert, 1996. "Computing yields on enhanced CDs," Financial Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 31-42.
    14. Hendrickson, Jill M., 2000. "The impact of bank failures on local bank pricing decisions," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 401-416.

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