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EU Enlargement and Immigration

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  • Margit Kraus
  • Robert Schwager

Abstract

This article assesses the consequences of EU enlargement for east–west migration. It is argued that expectations on future economic, social and political variables are crucial for immediate immigration. Specifically, if EU membership is refused, fear of future restrictions on immigration will lead to increased current migration. Moreover, EU accession is likely to reduce income gaps between the accession countries and the current Member States reducing the incentives to emigrate. We conclude that granting EU accession to eastern European countries will not necessarily induce massive east–west migration flows.

Suggested Citation

  • Margit Kraus & Robert Schwager, 2004. "EU Enlargement and Immigration," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(1), pages 165-181, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jcmkts:v:42:y:2004:i:1:p:165-181
    DOI: 10.1111/j.0021-9886.2004.00481.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. George A. Akerlof & Andrew K. Rose & Janet L. Yellen & Helga Hessenius, 1991. "East Germany in from the Cold: The Economic Aftermath of Currency Union," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 22(1), pages 1-106.
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    Cited by:

    1. Katja Swider, 2011. "Pre-Accession Changes to Residence-based Naturalisation Requirements in Ten New EU Member States," EUI-RSCAS Working Papers 18, European University Institute (EUI), Robert Schuman Centre of Advanced Studies (RSCAS).

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